Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder 52.8%

Kevin Warsh 29%

Christopher Waller 6.6%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$249,569,740 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder
$7,902,722 Vol.
53%

Kevin Warsh
$9,333,269 Vol.
29%

Christopher Waller
$6,770,166 Vol.
7%

Kevin Hassett
$14,306,749 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$8,515,274 Vol.
3%

Judy Shelton
$8,012,606 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$6,159,766 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,973,120 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,762,091 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,645,852 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$13,043,048 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,357,925 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,192,463 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,867,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,024,331 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,312,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,223,067 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,346,330 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,680,391 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,127,783 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,841,532 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,896,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,839,591 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,497,746 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,933,763 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$249,569,740

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder 52.8%

Kevin Warsh 29%

Christopher Waller 6.6%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$249,569,740 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Rick Rieder

$7,902,722 Vol.

53%

Kevin Warsh

$9,333,269 Vol.

29%

Christopher Waller

$6,770,166 Vol.

Kevin Hassett

$14,306,749 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$8,515,274 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$8,012,606 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$6,159,766 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$5,973,120 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$4,762,091 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$5,645,852 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$13,043,048 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,357,925 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,192,463 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,867,022 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,024,331 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,312,107 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,223,067 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,346,330 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,680,391 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,127,783 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$9,841,532 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,896,022 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,839,591 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$19,497,746 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,933,763 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$249,569,740

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

51%

Will 51 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

21%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Rick Rieder
$7,902,722 Vol.
53%

Kevin Warsh
$9,333,269 Vol.
29%

Christopher Waller
$6,770,166 Vol.
7%

Kevin Hassett
$14,306,749 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$8,515,274 Vol.
3%

Judy Shelton
$8,012,606 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$6,159,766 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,973,120 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,762,091 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,645,852 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$13,043,048 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,357,925 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,192,463 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,867,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,024,331 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,312,107 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,223,067 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,346,330 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,680,391 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,127,783 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,841,532 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,896,022 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,839,591 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,497,746 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,933,763 Vol.
<1%

Market Context