Incumbent Sen. John Barrasso's (R) dominant incumbency in deeply Republican Wyoming drives trader consensus at 93% for a GOP Senate win, reflecting the state's consistent election of Republicans—including no Democratic victor since 1976—and Trump’s 43-point 2020 margin. Barrasso crushed his primary with 74% of the vote in August, while polls like the September Emerson survey show him leading Democrat Scott Quist by 28 points (59%-31%), with no recent catalysts narrowing the gap amid low Democratic turnout historically. The November 5 general election poses few hurdles, though a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds despite safe-seat base rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
93%
民主党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. John Barrasso's (R) dominant incumbency in deeply Republican Wyoming drives trader consensus at 93% for a GOP Senate win, reflecting the state's consistent election of Republicans—including no Democratic victor since 1976—and Trump’s 43-point 2020 margin. Barrasso crushed his primary with 74% of the vote in August, while polls like the September Emerson survey show him leading Democrat Scott Quist by 28 points (59%-31%), with no recent catalysts narrowing the gap amid low Democratic turnout historically. The November 5 general election poses few hurdles, though a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds despite safe-seat base rates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. John Barrasso's (R) dominant incumbency in deeply Republican Wyoming drives trader consensus at 93% for a GOP Senate win, reflecting the state's consistent election of Republicans—including no Democratic victor since 1976—and Trump’s 43-point 2020 margin. Barrasso crushed his primary with 74% of the vote in August, while polls like the September Emerson survey show him leading Democrat Scott Quist by 28 points (59%-31%), with no recent catalysts narrowing the gap amid low Democratic turnout historically. The November 5 general election poses few hurdles, though a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds despite safe-seat base rates.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. John Barrasso's (R) dominant incumbency in deeply Republican Wyoming drives trader consensus at 93% for a GOP Senate win, reflecting the state's consistent election of Republicans—including no Democratic victor since 1976—and Trump’s 43-point 2020 margin. Barrasso crushed his primary with 74% of the vote in August, while polls like the September Emerson survey show him leading Democrat Scott Quist by 28 points (59%-31%), with no recent catalysts narrowing the gap amid low Democratic turnout historically. The November 5 general election poses few hurdles, though a major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could shift odds despite safe-seat base rates.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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