Recent TIPP polling from March 13-19 shows Democratic contenders Sara Rodriguez, Mandela Barnes, and David Crowley each holding narrow leads over Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in hypothetical Wisconsin gubernatorial matchups—44%-41%, 43%-41%, and 42%-41%, respectively—bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic victory in this open-seat battleground race. A Marquette Law School Poll released last week confirms low voter engagement five months before the August 11 primaries, with 65% undecided in the crowded Democratic primary where Barnes leads per related markets, while Tiffany dominates the GOP field at 88% odds following a Trump endorsement. Despite tossup ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report, traders reflect Democrats' recent success in state executive races amid Republican legislative retirements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$64,980 交易量
$64,980 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
76%
共和党
18%
$64,980 交易量
$64,980 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$10,174 交易量
76%
共和党
$54,806 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent TIPP polling from March 13-19 shows Democratic contenders Sara Rodriguez, Mandela Barnes, and David Crowley each holding narrow leads over Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in hypothetical Wisconsin gubernatorial matchups—44%-41%, 43%-41%, and 42%-41%, respectively—bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic victory in this open-seat battleground race. A Marquette Law School Poll released last week confirms low voter engagement five months before the August 11 primaries, with 65% undecided in the crowded Democratic primary where Barnes leads per related markets, while Tiffany dominates the GOP field at 88% odds following a Trump endorsement. Despite tossup ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report, traders reflect Democrats' recent success in state executive races amid Republican legislative retirements.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$64,980结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent TIPP polling from March 13-19 shows Democratic contenders Sara Rodriguez, Mandela Barnes, and David Crowley each holding narrow leads over Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in hypothetical Wisconsin gubernatorial matchups—44%-41%, 43%-41%, and 42%-41%, respectively—bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic victory in this open-seat battleground race. A Marquette Law School Poll released last week confirms low voter engagement five months before the August 11 primaries, with 65% undecided in the crowded Democratic primary where Barnes leads per related markets, while Tiffany dominates the GOP field at 88% odds following a Trump endorsement. Despite tossup ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report, traders reflect Democrats' recent success in state executive races amid Republican legislative retirements.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$64,980结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent TIPP polling from March 13-19 shows Democratic contenders Sara Rodriguez, Mandela Barnes, and David Crowley each holding narrow leads over Republican frontrunner U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany in hypothetical Wisconsin gubernatorial matchups—44%-41%, 43%-41%, and 42%-41%, respectively—bolstering trader consensus on a Democratic victory in this open-seat battleground race. A Marquette Law School Poll released last week confirms low voter engagement five months before the August 11 primaries, with 65% undecided in the crowded Democratic primary where Barnes leads per related markets, while Tiffany dominates the GOP field at 88% odds following a Trump endorsement. Despite tossup ratings from forecasters like Cook Political Report, traders reflect Democrats' recent success in state executive races amid Republican legislative retirements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题