Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 76% to win Wisconsin's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, reflecting perceived structural advantages from Gov. Tony Evers' steady approval amid term limits, strong urban turnout in Milwaukee and Dane counties, and a deep Democratic primary field featuring Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, Mandela Barnes, and Rep. Francesca Hong. Recent March polls underscore a competitive landscape, with TIPP Insights (March 13–19) showing Rodriguez leading Rep. frontrunner Tom Tiffany 44%–41%, Barnes 43%–41%, and Hong trailing 40%–43%, while Patriot Polling had Tiffany up 46%–42% over Hong; high undecideds (65% Democrats, 54% Republicans) signal consolidation potential ahead of August 11 primaries. Odds diverge from tossup polling averages, betting on Democratic path-to-victory in this battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$10,166 交易量
$10,166 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
76%
共和党
18%
$10,166 交易量
$10,166 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$10,166 交易量
76%
共和党
$0 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 76% to win Wisconsin's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, reflecting perceived structural advantages from Gov. Tony Evers' steady approval amid term limits, strong urban turnout in Milwaukee and Dane counties, and a deep Democratic primary field featuring Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, Mandela Barnes, and Rep. Francesca Hong. Recent March polls underscore a competitive landscape, with TIPP Insights (March 13–19) showing Rodriguez leading Rep. frontrunner Tom Tiffany 44%–41%, Barnes 43%–41%, and Hong trailing 40%–43%, while Patriot Polling had Tiffany up 46%–42% over Hong; high undecideds (65% Democrats, 54% Republicans) signal consolidation potential ahead of August 11 primaries. Odds diverge from tossup polling averages, betting on Democratic path-to-victory in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$10,166结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 76% to win Wisconsin's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, reflecting perceived structural advantages from Gov. Tony Evers' steady approval amid term limits, strong urban turnout in Milwaukee and Dane counties, and a deep Democratic primary field featuring Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, Mandela Barnes, and Rep. Francesca Hong. Recent March polls underscore a competitive landscape, with TIPP Insights (March 13–19) showing Rodriguez leading Rep. frontrunner Tom Tiffany 44%–41%, Barnes 43%–41%, and Hong trailing 40%–43%, while Patriot Polling had Tiffany up 46%–42% over Hong; high undecideds (65% Democrats, 54% Republicans) signal consolidation potential ahead of August 11 primaries. Odds diverge from tossup polling averages, betting on Democratic path-to-victory in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$10,166结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Democrats at 76% to win Wisconsin's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, reflecting perceived structural advantages from Gov. Tony Evers' steady approval amid term limits, strong urban turnout in Milwaukee and Dane counties, and a deep Democratic primary field featuring Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez, Mandela Barnes, and Rep. Francesca Hong. Recent March polls underscore a competitive landscape, with TIPP Insights (March 13–19) showing Rodriguez leading Rep. frontrunner Tom Tiffany 44%–41%, Barnes 43%–41%, and Hong trailing 40%–43%, while Patriot Polling had Tiffany up 46%–42% over Hong; high undecideds (65% Democrats, 54% Republicans) signal consolidation potential ahead of August 11 primaries. Odds diverge from tossup polling averages, betting on Democratic path-to-victory in this battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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