Recent polling from Alaska Survey Research has shown Democratic candidate Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan by 5–7 points in head-to-head matchups conducted in March and April 2026, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Peltola’s January 2026 entry into the race, combined with her substantial first-quarter fundraising edge of nearly $9 million compared to Sullivan’s totals, has sustained momentum ahead of the August 18 jungle primary. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system and the November 3 general election timeline remain central factors, with turnout patterns and primary performance likely to influence final positioning in this contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于玛丽·佩尔托拉 61%
丹·沙利文 41%
安·迪纳尔 <1%
理查德·格雷森 <1%
$328,495 交易量
$328,495 交易量
2026-11-03
玛丽·佩尔托拉
61%
丹·沙利文
41%
安·迪纳尔
<1%
理查德·格雷森
<1%
达斯汀·达登
<1%
玛丽·佩尔托拉 61%
丹·沙利文 41%
安·迪纳尔 <1%
理查德·格雷森 <1%
$328,495 交易量
$328,495 交易量
2026-11-03
玛丽·佩尔托拉
$159,643 交易量
61%
丹·沙利文
$91,165 交易量
41%
安·迪纳尔
$34,206 交易量
<1%
理查德·格雷森
$21,549 交易量
<1%
达斯汀·达登
$21,931 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polling from Alaska Survey Research has shown Democratic candidate Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan by 5–7 points in head-to-head matchups conducted in March and April 2026, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Peltola’s January 2026 entry into the race, combined with her substantial first-quarter fundraising edge of nearly $9 million compared to Sullivan’s totals, has sustained momentum ahead of the August 18 jungle primary. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system and the November 3 general election timeline remain central factors, with turnout patterns and primary performance likely to influence final positioning in this contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$328,495结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Recent polling from Alaska Survey Research has shown Democratic candidate Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan by 5–7 points in head-to-head matchups conducted in March and April 2026, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Peltola’s January 2026 entry into the race, combined with her substantial first-quarter fundraising edge of nearly $9 million compared to Sullivan’s totals, has sustained momentum ahead of the August 18 jungle primary. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system and the November 3 general election timeline remain central factors, with turnout patterns and primary performance likely to influence final positioning in this contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$328,495结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Alaska Survey Research has shown Democratic candidate Mary Peltola leading incumbent Republican Senator Dan Sullivan by 5–7 points in head-to-head matchups conducted in March and April 2026, contributing to the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Peltola’s January 2026 entry into the race, combined with her substantial first-quarter fundraising edge of nearly $9 million compared to Sullivan’s totals, has sustained momentum ahead of the August 18 jungle primary. Alaska’s ranked-choice voting system and the November 3 general election timeline remain central factors, with turnout patterns and primary performance likely to influence final positioning in this contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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