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选举·美国大选

阿拉斯加州参议院选举获胜者

icon for 阿拉斯加州参议院选举获胜者
选举·美国大选

阿拉斯加州参议院选举获胜者

玛丽·佩尔托拉 61%

丹·沙利文 40%

安·迪纳尔 <1%

理查德·格雷森 <1%

Polymarket

$328,473 交易量

玛丽·佩尔托拉 61%

丹·沙利文 40%

安·迪纳尔 <1%

理查德·格雷森 <1%

Polymarket

$328,473 交易量

icon for 玛丽·佩尔托拉

玛丽·佩尔托拉

$159,643 交易量

61%

icon for 丹·沙利文

丹·沙利文

$91,144 交易量

40%

icon for 安·迪纳尔

安·迪纳尔

$34,206 交易量

<1%

icon for 理查德·格雷森

理查德·格雷森

$21,549 交易量

<1%

icon for 达斯汀·达登

达斯汀·达登

$21,931 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola holds the leading trader consensus in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race due to early polling from Alaska Survey Research showing her ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan by 5–7 points, combined with her record $8.9 million first-quarter fundraising haul that far exceeded his totals. Peltola’s January 2026 entry, her prior success under the state’s ranked-choice voting system in House contests, and her focus on affordability measures such as middle-income tax relief have sustained momentum ahead of the August jungle primary. Sullivan remains competitive through incumbency advantages and cash reserves, yet the polling trends and resource disparity have produced the current narrow edge for Peltola in the prediction market. The November general election outcome will hinge on turnout and ranked-choice dynamics in this closely watched contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$328,473
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.Mary Peltola holds the leading trader consensus in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race due to early polling from Alaska Survey Research showing her ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan by 5–7 points, combined with her record $8.9 million first-quarter fundraising haul that far exceeded his totals. Peltola’s January 2026 entry, her prior success under the state’s ranked-choice voting system in House contests, and her focus on affordability measures such as middle-income tax relief have sustained momentum ahead of the August jungle primary. Sullivan remains competitive through incumbency advantages and cash reserves, yet the polling trends and resource disparity have produced the current narrow edge for Peltola in the prediction market. The November general election outcome will hinge on turnout and ranked-choice dynamics in this closely watched contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
交易量
$328,473
结束日期
2026-11-03
市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"阿拉斯加州参议院选举获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"玛丽·佩尔托拉"，概率为 61%，其次是"丹·沙利文"，概率为 40%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 61¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 61%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"阿拉斯加州参议院选举获胜者"已产生 $328.5K 的总交易量（自Oct 13, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"阿拉斯加州参议院选举获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"阿拉斯加州参议院选举获胜者"的当前领先者是"玛丽·佩尔托拉"，概率为 61%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 61%。紧随其后的结果是"丹·沙利文"，概率为 40%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"阿拉斯加州参议院选举获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。