Trader consensus heavily favors no full abolition of the Department of Education before 2027, driven by the statutory requirement for congressional legislation that has stalled despite multiple bills like H.R. 899 by Rep. Thomas Massie, introduced in January 2025 to terminate the agency by December 31, 2026, and others from Sen. Mike Rounds. President Trump's March 2025 executive order initiated downsizing through staff layoffs, contract cancellations, interagency partnerships announced in November 2025 and February 2026, and the recent March 26 decision to vacate headquarters for the Department of Energy—yet recent appropriations bills, including February 2026 measures, rejected defunding calls and preserved programs like special education and school lunches. With over eight months remaining, realistic shifts would need swift House and Senate passage plus presidential signature, amid competing legislative priorities and institutional resistance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
是
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no full abolition of the Department of Education before 2027, driven by the statutory requirement for congressional legislation that has stalled despite multiple bills like H.R. 899 by Rep. Thomas Massie, introduced in January 2025 to terminate the agency by December 31, 2026, and others from Sen. Mike Rounds. President Trump's March 2025 executive order initiated downsizing through staff layoffs, contract cancellations, interagency partnerships announced in November 2025 and February 2026, and the recent March 26 decision to vacate headquarters for the Department of Energy—yet recent appropriations bills, including February 2026 measures, rejected defunding calls and preserved programs like special education and school lunches. With over eight months remaining, realistic shifts would need swift House and Senate passage plus presidential signature, amid competing legislative priorities and institutional resistance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ET
交易量
$8,724结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no full abolition of the Department of Education before 2027, driven by the statutory requirement for congressional legislation that has stalled despite multiple bills like H.R. 899 by Rep. Thomas Massie, introduced in January 2025 to terminate the agency by December 31, 2026, and others from Sen. Mike Rounds. President Trump's March 2025 executive order initiated downsizing through staff layoffs, contract cancellations, interagency partnerships announced in November 2025 and February 2026, and the recent March 26 decision to vacate headquarters for the Department of Energy—yet recent appropriations bills, including February 2026 measures, rejected defunding calls and preserved programs like special education and school lunches. With over eight months remaining, realistic shifts would need swift House and Senate passage plus presidential signature, amid competing legislative priorities and institutional resistance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of Education ceases operations entirely, including the termination of all federal educational programs managed by the department, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the US Department of Education is merged with another agency, resulting in a consolidated department with a shared administrative structure which is no longer titled the Department of Education it will count as a "Yes" resolution.
If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g. he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$8,724结束日期
Dec 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 19, 2025, 3:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors no full abolition of the Department of Education before 2027, driven by the statutory requirement for congressional legislation that has stalled despite multiple bills like H.R. 899 by Rep. Thomas Massie, introduced in January 2025 to terminate the agency by December 31, 2026, and others from Sen. Mike Rounds. President Trump's March 2025 executive order initiated downsizing through staff layoffs, contract cancellations, interagency partnerships announced in November 2025 and February 2026, and the recent March 26 decision to vacate headquarters for the Department of Energy—yet recent appropriations bills, including February 2026 measures, rejected defunding calls and preserved programs like special education and school lunches. With over eight months remaining, realistic shifts would need swift House and Senate passage plus presidential signature, amid competing legislative priorities and institutional resistance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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