Incumbent Rep. Mark Pocan's commanding position in the deep-blue WI-02, anchored by a D+21 partisan voting index encompassing liberal Dane County and Madison, drives trader consensus at 91% for Democrats, reflecting his unopposed Democratic primary path and past general election margins exceeding 70% against repeat challenger Erik Olsen. Pocan's $1 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Olsen's resources, underscoring the race's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report amid no recent polling or catalysts in the past 30 days. Ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, August 11 primaries, and November 3 general election, realistic challengers include a Pocan scandal, withdrawal, or national Republican midterm wave flipping battleground turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
91%
共和党
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主党
$0 交易量
91%
共和党
$0 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mark Pocan's commanding position in the deep-blue WI-02, anchored by a D+21 partisan voting index encompassing liberal Dane County and Madison, drives trader consensus at 91% for Democrats, reflecting his unopposed Democratic primary path and past general election margins exceeding 70% against repeat challenger Erik Olsen. Pocan's $1 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Olsen's resources, underscoring the race's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report amid no recent polling or catalysts in the past 30 days. Ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, August 11 primaries, and November 3 general election, realistic challengers include a Pocan scandal, withdrawal, or national Republican midterm wave flipping battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mark Pocan's commanding position in the deep-blue WI-02, anchored by a D+21 partisan voting index encompassing liberal Dane County and Madison, drives trader consensus at 91% for Democrats, reflecting his unopposed Democratic primary path and past general election margins exceeding 70% against repeat challenger Erik Olsen. Pocan's $1 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Olsen's resources, underscoring the race's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report amid no recent polling or catalysts in the past 30 days. Ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, August 11 primaries, and November 3 general election, realistic challengers include a Pocan scandal, withdrawal, or national Republican midterm wave flipping battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mark Pocan's commanding position in the deep-blue WI-02, anchored by a D+21 partisan voting index encompassing liberal Dane County and Madison, drives trader consensus at 91% for Democrats, reflecting his unopposed Democratic primary path and past general election margins exceeding 70% against repeat challenger Erik Olsen. Pocan's $1 million cash-on-hand dwarfs Olsen's resources, underscoring the race's Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report amid no recent polling or catalysts in the past 30 days. Ahead of the June 1 filing deadline, August 11 primaries, and November 3 general election, realistic challengers include a Pocan scandal, withdrawal, or national Republican midterm wave flipping battleground turnout.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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