Recent high-profile departures from the Trump administration, including Attorney General Pam Bondi ousted on April 2 amid controversies over Justice Department voter data demands and Epstein-related files, and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem removed end of March following criticism of immigration enforcement, have intensified trader focus on cabinet turnover patterns. Earlier resignations, such as the National Counterterrorism Center director protesting Iran policy in mid-March, highlight internal frictions from foreign policy escalations and Department of Government Efficiency cuts. Historical precedents from Trump's first term indicate elevated risks for officials like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid Pentagon reviews and FBI Director Kash Patel facing cyber breach scrutiny. Key upcoming catalysts include replacement confirmation hearings, 2026 midterm pressures, and Supreme Court arguments on migrant protections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$825,774 交易量
2026-12-31
图尔西·加巴德
65%
卡什·帕特尔
56%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
55%
霍华德·卢特尼克
52%
皮特·海格塞斯
46%
约翰·拉特克利夫
40%
李泽尔丁
37%
卡罗琳·利维特
36%
苏西·怀尔斯
34%
大卫·萨克斯
31%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
26%
斯蒂芬·米勒
18%
斯科特·贝森特
18%
马尔科·鲁比奥
15%
拉塞尔·沃特
26%
汤姆·霍曼
27%
丹·斯卡维诺
33%
$825,774 交易量
图尔西·加巴德
$14,844 交易量
65%
卡什·帕特尔
$154,243 交易量
56%
克里斯蒂·诺姆
$85,121 交易量
55%
霍华德·卢特尼克
$35,454 交易量
52%
皮特·海格塞斯
$17,267 交易量
46%
约翰·拉特克利夫
$0 交易量
40%
李泽尔丁
$23,743 交易量
37%
卡罗琳·利维特
$11,652 交易量
36%
苏西·怀尔斯
$39,656 交易量
34%
大卫·萨克斯
$6,314 交易量
31%
罗伯特·F·肯尼迪二世
$63,137 交易量
26%
斯蒂芬·米勒
$551 交易量
18%
斯科特·贝森特
$411 交易量
18%
马尔科·鲁比奥
$2,712 交易量
15%
拉塞尔·沃特
$134 交易量
26%
汤姆·霍曼
$40 交易量
27%
丹·斯卡维诺
$31 交易量
33%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent high-profile departures from the Trump administration, including Attorney General Pam Bondi ousted on April 2 amid controversies over Justice Department voter data demands and Epstein-related files, and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem removed end of March following criticism of immigration enforcement, have intensified trader focus on cabinet turnover patterns. Earlier resignations, such as the National Counterterrorism Center director protesting Iran policy in mid-March, highlight internal frictions from foreign policy escalations and Department of Government Efficiency cuts. Historical precedents from Trump's first term indicate elevated risks for officials like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid Pentagon reviews and FBI Director Kash Patel facing cyber breach scrutiny. Key upcoming catalysts include replacement confirmation hearings, 2026 midterm pressures, and Supreme Court arguments on migrant protections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
交易量
$825,774结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent high-profile departures from the Trump administration, including Attorney General Pam Bondi ousted on April 2 amid controversies over Justice Department voter data demands and Epstein-related files, and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem removed end of March following criticism of immigration enforcement, have intensified trader focus on cabinet turnover patterns. Earlier resignations, such as the National Counterterrorism Center director protesting Iran policy in mid-March, highlight internal frictions from foreign policy escalations and Department of Government Efficiency cuts. Historical precedents from Trump's first term indicate elevated risks for officials like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid Pentagon reviews and FBI Director Kash Patel facing cyber breach scrutiny. Key upcoming catalysts include replacement confirmation hearings, 2026 midterm pressures, and Supreme Court arguments on migrant protections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
交易量
$825,774结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent high-profile departures from the Trump administration, including Attorney General Pam Bondi ousted on April 2 amid controversies over Justice Department voter data demands and Epstein-related files, and Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem removed end of March following criticism of immigration enforcement, have intensified trader focus on cabinet turnover patterns. Earlier resignations, such as the National Counterterrorism Center director protesting Iran policy in mid-March, highlight internal frictions from foreign policy escalations and Department of Government Efficiency cuts. Historical precedents from Trump's first term indicate elevated risks for officials like Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth amid Pentagon reviews and FBI Director Kash Patel facing cyber breach scrutiny. Key upcoming catalysts include replacement confirmation hearings, 2026 midterm pressures, and Supreme Court arguments on migrant protections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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