In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 44.5% implied probability, mirroring his 43% win in the February DFL precinct caucuses straw poll amid 28% uncommitted or undecided support, signaling an open field after Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. State Sen. Matt Klein has surged to 35% on his legislative experience and physician background, while state Rep. Kaela Berg climbed to 24% following a prominent New York Times profile highlighting her flight attendant-union profile. The race remains tight with no DFL endorsement yet—expected at the May CD2 convention—and Q1 fundraising disclosures pending; a consensus endorsement or public polling could create separation ahead of the August 11 open primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于马特·利特尔 41%
马特·克莱因 35%
凯拉·伯格 27.3%
$28,146 交易量
$28,146 交易量
2026-08-11
马特·利特尔
45%
马特·克莱因
35%
凯拉·伯格
21%
马特·利特尔 41%
马特·克莱因 35%
凯拉·伯格 27.3%
$28,146 交易量
$28,146 交易量
2026-08-11
马特·利特尔
$19,898 交易量
45%
马特·克莱因
$6,332 交易量
35%
凯拉·伯格
$1,916 交易量
21%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 44.5% implied probability, mirroring his 43% win in the February DFL precinct caucuses straw poll amid 28% uncommitted or undecided support, signaling an open field after Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. State Sen. Matt Klein has surged to 35% on his legislative experience and physician background, while state Rep. Kaela Berg climbed to 24% following a prominent New York Times profile highlighting her flight attendant-union profile. The race remains tight with no DFL endorsement yet—expected at the May CD2 convention—and Q1 fundraising disclosures pending; a consensus endorsement or public polling could create separation ahead of the August 11 open primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
交易量
$28,146结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 44.5% implied probability, mirroring his 43% win in the February DFL precinct caucuses straw poll amid 28% uncommitted or undecided support, signaling an open field after Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. State Sen. Matt Klein has surged to 35% on his legislative experience and physician background, while state Rep. Kaela Berg climbed to 24% following a prominent New York Times profile highlighting her flight attendant-union profile. The race remains tight with no DFL endorsement yet—expected at the May CD2 convention—and Q1 fundraising disclosures pending; a consensus endorsement or public polling could create separation ahead of the August 11 open primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$28,146结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Minnesota's 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary, trader consensus favors former state Sen. Matt Little at 44.5% implied probability, mirroring his 43% win in the February DFL precinct caucuses straw poll amid 28% uncommitted or undecided support, signaling an open field after Rep. Angie Craig's Senate bid. State Sen. Matt Klein has surged to 35% on his legislative experience and physician background, while state Rep. Kaela Berg climbed to 24% following a prominent New York Times profile highlighting her flight attendant-union profile. The race remains tight with no DFL endorsement yet—expected at the May CD2 convention—and Q1 fundraising disclosures pending; a consensus endorsement or public polling could create separation ahead of the August 11 open primary.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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