Trump's repeated use of signature phrases on Truth Social, particularly criticizing his legal challenges as "witch hunts," drives trader consensus for this week's statement market, with implied probabilities favoring familiar refrains like "the only crime I have committed is to fearlessly defend our Nation." Recent catalysts include the March 25 New York hush money trial date confirmation, intensifying attacks on DA Alvin Bragg and Judge Juan Merchan, alongside ongoing Georgia election interference bond proceedings. Trump's consistent posting rhythm amid primaries—following wins in Florida and others—bolsters expectations of election integrity rhetoric. Traders watch for weekend rallies or posts, though rapid legal twists could shift odds unpredictably.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$111,015 交易量
Finish the Job
26%
Too Big to Rig
18%
Claude / Anthropic
23%
Khamenei
14%
What's Up
14%
Crypto / Bitcoin
12%
Doug / Burgum
11%
Democrat Shutdown
10%
Affair
8%
Migrant Crime
8%
Egghead
8%
Nancy / Pelosi
8%
Cure to Cancer
7%
No Inflation
6%
Armada
5%
$111,015 交易量
Finish the Job
26%
Too Big to Rig
18%
Claude / Anthropic
23%
Khamenei
14%
What's Up
14%
Crypto / Bitcoin
12%
Doug / Burgum
11%
Democrat Shutdown
10%
Affair
8%
Migrant Crime
8%
Egghead
8%
Nancy / Pelosi
8%
Cure to Cancer
7%
No Inflation
6%
Armada
5%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 13, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's repeated use of signature phrases on Truth Social, particularly criticizing his legal challenges as "witch hunts," drives trader consensus for this week's statement market, with implied probabilities favoring familiar refrains like "the only crime I have committed is to fearlessly defend our Nation." Recent catalysts include the March 25 New York hush money trial date confirmation, intensifying attacks on DA Alvin Bragg and Judge Juan Merchan, alongside ongoing Georgia election interference bond proceedings. Trump's consistent posting rhythm amid primaries—following wins in Florida and others—bolsters expectations of election integrity rhetoric. Traders watch for weekend rallies or posts, though rapid legal twists could shift odds unpredictably.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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