Trader consensus on Polymarket for Donald Trump's expected Truth Social posts during March 16-22 tilts toward recurring themes like political opponents, election integrity, and legal proceedings, mirroring his daily average of 20+ posts reacting to news cycles. Recent catalysts include his March 12 primary sweeps in Georgia, Mississippi, Hawaii, and Alaska, solidifying his GOP nomination path, alongside critiques of President Biden's State of the Union and media coverage of classified documents developments. Upcoming March 19 primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio could amplify victory rhetoric or fraud claims, while no major court hearings loom. Odds capture historical patterns of high-volume, event-driven messaging, though posting remains inherently unpredictable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$58,235 交易量
Ass
10%
Lawsuit
42%
Illinois
14%
Epic Fury
34%
Oscar / Oscars
14%
Hillary / Clinton
18%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
18%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
35%
Filibuster
38%
Stupid
40%
Death to America
11%
Claude / Anthropic
14%
Hamas / Hezbollah
38%
Too Big to Rig
29%
Democrat Shutdown
17%
Mamdani
16%
Texas
35%
Son
17%
Cornyn
14%
Jake Paul
13%
$58,235 交易量
Ass
10%
Lawsuit
42%
Illinois
14%
Epic Fury
34%
Oscar / Oscars
14%
Hillary / Clinton
18%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
18%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
35%
Filibuster
38%
Stupid
40%
Death to America
11%
Claude / Anthropic
14%
Hamas / Hezbollah
38%
Too Big to Rig
29%
Democrat Shutdown
17%
Mamdani
16%
Texas
35%
Son
17%
Cornyn
14%
Jake Paul
13%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Note: "Mutilization" must be written verbatim in order to qualify, any additional riffs on spelling or grammatical variations will not be considered, nor will the proper word "Mutilation". Differences in capitalization will qualify.
市场开放时间: Mar 13, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket for Donald Trump's expected Truth Social posts during March 16-22 tilts toward recurring themes like political opponents, election integrity, and legal proceedings, mirroring his daily average of 20+ posts reacting to news cycles. Recent catalysts include his March 12 primary sweeps in Georgia, Mississippi, Hawaii, and Alaska, solidifying his GOP nomination path, alongside critiques of President Biden's State of the Union and media coverage of classified documents developments. Upcoming March 19 primaries in Arizona, Florida, Illinois, Kansas, and Ohio could amplify victory rhetoric or fraud claims, while no major court hearings loom. Odds capture historical patterns of high-volume, event-driven messaging, though posting remains inherently unpredictable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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