Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Donald Trump posting about ongoing legal matters or political opponents during March 16-22, reflecting his consistent Truth Social activity patterns amid post-inauguration scrutiny. Recent catalysts include court rulings on immunity claims and federal cases narrowing, plus cabinet confirmation hearings ramping up, which often prompt his commentary on "witch hunts" or endorsements. International tensions, like Ukraine aid debates and Middle East diplomacy, could spur foreign policy posts, while domestic issues such as border security executive actions loom large. Upcoming events, including potential congressional votes and a March 18 economic data release, heighten odds of economy-focused remarks, underscoring traders' emphasis on Trump's reactive style driving market probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$68,057 交易量
Ass
12%
Lawsuit
35%
Illinois
15%
Epic Fury
35%
Oscar / Oscars
2%
Hillary / Clinton
22%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
23%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
38%
Filibuster
34%
Stupid
43%
Death to America
1%
Claude / Anthropic
15%
Hamas / Hezbollah
42%
Too Big to Rig
31%
Democrat Shutdown
24%
Mamdani
18%
Texas
48%
Son
15%
Cornyn
15%
Jake Paul
6%
$68,057 交易量
Ass
12%
Lawsuit
35%
Illinois
15%
Epic Fury
35%
Oscar / Oscars
2%
Hillary / Clinton
22%
SOTU / State of the Union / State of Our Union
23%
IRGC / Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps
38%
Filibuster
34%
Stupid
43%
Death to America
1%
Claude / Anthropic
15%
Hamas / Hezbollah
42%
Too Big to Rig
31%
Democrat Shutdown
24%
Mamdani
18%
Texas
48%
Son
15%
Cornyn
15%
Jake Paul
6%
For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts/truths count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts/truths and reposts/reTruths will not count.
Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count.
Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
The resolution source for this market will be Donald Trumps's verified Truth Social account: @realDonaldTrump
Please note, only the @realDonaldTrump verified Truth Social account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Donald Trump posts/truths from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Note: "Mutilization" must be written verbatim in order to qualify, any additional riffs on spelling or grammatical variations will not be considered, nor will the proper word "Mutilation". Differences in capitalization will qualify.
市场开放时间: Mar 13, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward Donald Trump posting about ongoing legal matters or political opponents during March 16-22, reflecting his consistent Truth Social activity patterns amid post-inauguration scrutiny. Recent catalysts include court rulings on immunity claims and federal cases narrowing, plus cabinet confirmation hearings ramping up, which often prompt his commentary on "witch hunts" or endorsements. International tensions, like Ukraine aid debates and Middle East diplomacy, could spur foreign policy posts, while domestic issues such as border security executive actions loom large. Upcoming events, including potential congressional votes and a March 18 economic data release, heighten odds of economy-focused remarks, underscoring traders' emphasis on Trump's reactive style driving market probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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