Incumbent Republican Senator Shelley Moore Capito's commanding trader consensus at 93% reflects West Virginia's status as a deep-red stronghold, where Republicans have dominated recent cycles, including Jim Justice's 2024 Senate landslide. Capito, seeking a third term, filed for re-election in January 2026 and secured key endorsements this month from the West Virginia Chamber PAC and NFIB small businesses, bolstering her incumbency advantage amid a weak Democratic bench with no high-profile challengers yet filed. Her Republican primary foe, Derrick Evans, poses minimal threat ahead of the May 12 vote. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, a strong Democratic recruit capitalizing on economic discontent like rising gas prices, or unforeseen scandals, though structural barriers favor the GOP path to victory on November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
93%
民主党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
93%
民主党
$2,236 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Shelley Moore Capito's commanding trader consensus at 93% reflects West Virginia's status as a deep-red stronghold, where Republicans have dominated recent cycles, including Jim Justice's 2024 Senate landslide. Capito, seeking a third term, filed for re-election in January 2026 and secured key endorsements this month from the West Virginia Chamber PAC and NFIB small businesses, bolstering her incumbency advantage amid a weak Democratic bench with no high-profile challengers yet filed. Her Republican primary foe, Derrick Evans, poses minimal threat ahead of the May 12 vote. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, a strong Democratic recruit capitalizing on economic discontent like rising gas prices, or unforeseen scandals, though structural barriers favor the GOP path to victory on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$2,236结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Senator Shelley Moore Capito's commanding trader consensus at 93% reflects West Virginia's status as a deep-red stronghold, where Republicans have dominated recent cycles, including Jim Justice's 2024 Senate landslide. Capito, seeking a third term, filed for re-election in January 2026 and secured key endorsements this month from the West Virginia Chamber PAC and NFIB small businesses, bolstering her incumbency advantage amid a weak Democratic bench with no high-profile challengers yet filed. Her Republican primary foe, Derrick Evans, poses minimal threat ahead of the May 12 vote. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, a strong Democratic recruit capitalizing on economic discontent like rising gas prices, or unforeseen scandals, though structural barriers favor the GOP path to victory on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm West Virginia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$2,236结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Senator Shelley Moore Capito's commanding trader consensus at 93% reflects West Virginia's status as a deep-red stronghold, where Republicans have dominated recent cycles, including Jim Justice's 2024 Senate landslide. Capito, seeking a third term, filed for re-election in January 2026 and secured key endorsements this month from the West Virginia Chamber PAC and NFIB small businesses, bolstering her incumbency advantage amid a weak Democratic bench with no high-profile challengers yet filed. Her Republican primary foe, Derrick Evans, poses minimal threat ahead of the May 12 vote. Upsets could stem from a primary surprise, a strong Democratic recruit capitalizing on economic discontent like rising gas prices, or unforeseen scandals, though structural barriers favor the GOP path to victory on November 3.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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