US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on Caracas and capturing Nicolás Maduro amid escalating tensions over the Essequibo territorial dispute with Guyana, disputed 2024 elections, and Venezuelan-linked drug trafficking vessels. The rapid operation, announced by President Trump, facilitated a leadership transition to acting president Delcy Rodríguez, with the US lifting sanctions on her April 2 in a diplomatic thaw focused on oil and gas partnerships. No further military entries have occurred in the past 90 days, and no upcoming summits, border incidents, or agency actions signal re-escalation. Trader consensus reflects stabilized relations, weighing structural barriers like congressional oversight and regional alliances against potential triggers such as renewed Maduro loyalist resistance or cartel surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,260,924 交易量
2026-01-31
3月31日
1%
6月30日
10%
$1,260,924 交易量
3月31日
$4,076 交易量
1%
6月30日
$176,760 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on Caracas and capturing Nicolás Maduro amid escalating tensions over the Essequibo territorial dispute with Guyana, disputed 2024 elections, and Venezuelan-linked drug trafficking vessels. The rapid operation, announced by President Trump, facilitated a leadership transition to acting president Delcy Rodríguez, with the US lifting sanctions on her April 2 in a diplomatic thaw focused on oil and gas partnerships. No further military entries have occurred in the past 90 days, and no upcoming summits, border incidents, or agency actions signal re-escalation. Trader consensus reflects stabilized relations, weighing structural barriers like congressional oversight and regional alliances against potential triggers such as renewed Maduro loyalist resistance or cartel surges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ET
交易量
$1,260,924结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on Caracas and capturing Nicolás Maduro amid escalating tensions over the Essequibo territorial dispute with Guyana, disputed 2024 elections, and Venezuelan-linked drug trafficking vessels. The rapid operation, announced by President Trump, facilitated a leadership transition to acting president Delcy Rodríguez, with the US lifting sanctions on her April 2 in a diplomatic thaw focused on oil and gas partnerships. No further military entries have occurred in the past 90 days, and no upcoming summits, border incidents, or agency actions signal re-escalation. Trader consensus reflects stabilized relations, weighing structural barriers like congressional oversight and regional alliances against potential triggers such as renewed Maduro loyalist resistance or cartel surges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,260,924结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 9:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
US special forces entered Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching airstrikes on Caracas and capturing Nicolás Maduro amid escalating tensions over the Essequibo territorial dispute with Guyana, disputed 2024 elections, and Venezuelan-linked drug trafficking vessels. The rapid operation, announced by President Trump, facilitated a leadership transition to acting president Delcy Rodríguez, with the US lifting sanctions on her April 2 in a diplomatic thaw focused on oil and gas partnerships. No further military entries have occurred in the past 90 days, and no upcoming summits, border incidents, or agency actions signal re-escalation. Trader consensus reflects stabilized relations, weighing structural barriers like congressional oversight and regional alliances against potential triggers such as renewed Maduro loyalist resistance or cartel surges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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