Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 93.5% implied probability due to the complete absence of any official US military or border agency confirmation of downing a Mexican cartel drone by March 31. Mexican cartels have ramped up drone usage for smuggling and surveillance along the southwest border, as highlighted in recent congressional hearings and Customs and Border Protection alerts, but federal responses emphasize electronic jamming, detection systems, and diplomatic pressure on Mexico rather than public shoot-downs. No Department of Defense or White House announcements report such an action, and with the deadline imminent, the lack of verifiable incidents solidifies trader consensus on non-occurrence amid ongoing border security tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$13,578 交易量
$13,578 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$13,578 交易量
$13,578 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 12, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
交易量
$13,578结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US military or federal government downs or disables any Mexican cartel drone by any means (including kinetic, laser, jammer, etc.) by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Any drone whose operation is broadly attributed to a Mexican drug cartel or any Narco-trafficking organization based in Mexico by a consensus of credible reporting will be considered a “Mexican cartel drone.”
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$13,578结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 93.5% implied probability due to the complete absence of any official US military or border agency confirmation of downing a Mexican cartel drone by March 31. Mexican cartels have ramped up drone usage for smuggling and surveillance along the southwest border, as highlighted in recent congressional hearings and Customs and Border Protection alerts, but federal responses emphasize electronic jamming, detection systems, and diplomatic pressure on Mexico rather than public shoot-downs. No Department of Defense or White House announcements report such an action, and with the deadline imminent, the lack of verifiable incidents solidifies trader consensus on non-occurrence amid ongoing border security tensions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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