US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?

US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?

2%

$16.4K 交易量

$13.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 days

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

Ukraine hits Moscow by...?

18%

April 30

$137K 交易量

$13.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

29%

December 31, 2026

$917K 交易量

$26.6K Liq.

59

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

21%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$360K 交易量

$18.4K Liq.

58

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

88%

April 2

$562 交易量

$11.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?

96%

March 27

$333K 交易量

$97.6K today

$61.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

1%

$311K 交易量

$10.9K Liq.

27

Ends in 3 days

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?

73%

March 31

$37.1K 交易量

$14.1K Liq.

10

Ends in 18 days

Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?

Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?

69%

March 31

$17.4K 交易量

$14.9K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

45%

$1.4K 交易量

$11.9K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Israel strike on Damascus by...?

Israel strike on Damascus by...?

6%

March 31, 2026

$161K 交易量

$12.5K Liq.

32

Ends in 3 days

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

46%

$0 交易量

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

44%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$8.0K Liq.

107

Ends in 3 months

Russian strike on Poland by...?

Russian strike on Poland by...?

5%

June 30, 2026

$2M 交易量

$12.6K Liq.

244

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

22%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$127K Liq.

31

Ends in 9 months

Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

79%

April 5

$1.0K 交易量

$21.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

23%

December 31

$3M 交易量

$22.1K Liq.

59

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?

17%

April 30

$19.0K 交易量

$28.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Russian strike on a NATO member by...?

Russian strike on a NATO member by...?

1%

March 31

$2M 交易量

$14.9K Liq.

21

Ends in 3 days

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

Thailand strikes Cambodia by...?

22%

June 30, 2026

$61.1K 交易量

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

常见问题

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场,你可以通过交易与突发新闻、政治、体育、选举、加密货币、金融、科技、文化等相关的事物(包括 击落 等话题)来保持信息灵通并从你的知识中获利。

Polymarket 目前拥有 101 个活跃的 击落 市场,让你可以跟踪或交易如"US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?"等预测。无论你是在跟踪广泛讨论的事件还是小众结果,该平台基于超过 $11.8M 的交易量汇聚实时赔率,提供粉丝和投资者情绪的全面视图。

每个 Polymarket 市场都是一个是/否问题,例如"US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?"。你可以购买"是"或"否"结果的份额。价格反映了众包的赔率和概率。例如,如果"是"的价格为 30 美分,则表示有 30% 的概率。市场根据官方结果进行结算。对于多结果事件,例如"Another US strike on Venezuela by...?",你只需交易你认为会获胜的特定结果即可。

截至今天,最活跃的市场是"Another US strike on Venezuela by...?",市场目前认为 December 31 的概率为 23%。这些赔率会随着新信息的出现和用户的交易实时更新,与传统博彩公司的赔率相比,提供了市场认为会发生什么的动态快照。

它能穿透噪音。与民调或专家评论不同,Polymarket 向你展示由金融信念支撑的 击落 预测实时赔率,这些赔率通常比专家或调查更快、更准确。你可以获得数千名交易者对实际会发生什么的无偏见看法,这通常比民调更准确。此外,你可以交易份额,如果你的预测准确,还可能从中获利。