Everett Jackson's commanding 38% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (24%), cementing trader consensus at 83% implied probability of Jackson securing the nomination in this safely Democratic Dallas-area seat. Low-turnout runoffs historically favor first-round leaders, amplifying Jackson's momentum despite Daniels' superior pre-primary fundraising. Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) were eliminated but retain slim tail-risk pricing amid quiet post-primary campaigning, with no major endorsements, polls, or scandals shifting dynamics in the past 26 days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于埃弗雷特·杰克逊 77.4%
谢尔顿·丹尼尔斯 14%
Gregor Heise 3.7%
Nils Walker 1.9%
$22,338 交易量
$22,338 交易量
May 26, 2026
埃弗雷特·杰克逊
83%
谢尔顿·丹尼尔斯
14%
Gregor Heise
4%
Nils Walker
2%
埃弗雷特·杰克逊 77.4%
谢尔顿·丹尼尔斯 14%
Gregor Heise 3.7%
Nils Walker 1.9%
$22,338 交易量
$22,338 交易量
May 26, 2026
埃弗雷特·杰克逊
$2,269 交易量
83%
谢尔顿·丹尼尔斯
$8,845 交易量
14%
Gregor Heise
$10,111 交易量
4%
Nils Walker
$1,113 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's commanding 38% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (24%), cementing trader consensus at 83% implied probability of Jackson securing the nomination in this safely Democratic Dallas-area seat. Low-turnout runoffs historically favor first-round leaders, amplifying Jackson's momentum despite Daniels' superior pre-primary fundraising. Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) were eliminated but retain slim tail-risk pricing amid quiet post-primary campaigning, with no major endorsements, polls, or scandals shifting dynamics in the past 26 days.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
交易量
$22,338结束日期
May 26, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson's commanding 38% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (24%), cementing trader consensus at 83% implied probability of Jackson securing the nomination in this safely Democratic Dallas-area seat. Low-turnout runoffs historically favor first-round leaders, amplifying Jackson's momentum despite Daniels' superior pre-primary fundraising. Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) were eliminated but retain slim tail-risk pricing amid quiet post-primary campaigning, with no major endorsements, polls, or scandals shifting dynamics in the past 26 days.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$22,338结束日期
May 26, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Everett Jackson's commanding 38% plurality in the March 3 Republican primary for Texas's 30th Congressional District propelled him into the May 26 runoff against Sholdon Daniels (24%), cementing trader consensus at 83% implied probability of Jackson securing the nomination in this safely Democratic Dallas-area seat. Low-turnout runoffs historically favor first-round leaders, amplifying Jackson's momentum despite Daniels' superior pre-primary fundraising. Gregor Heise (19%) and Nils Walker (18%) were eliminated but retain slim tail-risk pricing amid quiet post-primary campaigning, with no major endorsements, polls, or scandals shifting dynamics in the past 26 days.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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