Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability of 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, aligning with historical averages—56.7% in 2017 and 68.4% in 2021—tempered by entrenched factors like institutional distrust, gang violence, and economic migration eroding participation. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, but the Supreme Electoral Tribunal's (TSE) ongoing registration drive has added only modest numbers to the 5.2 million voter rolls, signaling apathy amid President Xiomara Castro's administration scandals and fragmented opposition. Lower turnout odds reflect risks from further disillusionment, while higher brackets hinge on primary election turnout later in 2025 potentially galvanizing voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于55-60% 74.1%
<55% 17.6%
分组项标题：60-65% 4.0%
$1,584,899 交易量
$1,584,899 交易量
Nov 30, 2025
<55%
18%
55-60%
74%
分组项标题：60-65%
4%
55-60% 74.1%
<55% 17.6%
分组项标题：60-65% 4.0%
$1,584,899 交易量
$1,584,899 交易量
Nov 30, 2025
<55%
$391,508 交易量
18%
55-60%
$183,775 交易量
74%
分组项标题：60-65%
$364,405 交易量
4%
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability of 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, aligning with historical averages—56.7% in 2017 and 68.4% in 2021—tempered by entrenched factors like institutional distrust, gang violence, and economic migration eroding participation. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, but the Supreme Electoral Tribunal's (TSE) ongoing registration drive has added only modest numbers to the 5.2 million voter rolls, signaling apathy amid President Xiomara Castro's administration scandals and fragmented opposition. Lower turnout odds reflect risks from further disillusionment, while higher brackets hinge on primary election turnout later in 2025 potentially galvanizing voters.
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
市场开放时间： Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
交易量
$1,584,899结束日期
Nov 30, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability of 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, aligning with historical averages—56.7% in 2017 and 68.4% in 2021—tempered by entrenched factors like institutional distrust, gang violence, and economic migration eroding participation. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, but the Supreme Electoral Tribunal's (TSE) ongoing registration drive has added only modest numbers to the 5.2 million voter rolls, signaling apathy amid President Xiomara Castro's administration scandals and fragmented opposition. Lower turnout odds reflect risks from further disillusionment, while higher brackets hinge on primary election turnout later in 2025 potentially galvanizing voters.
Presidential and general elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
交易量
$1,584,899结束日期
Nov 30, 2025市场开放时间
Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 74% probability of 55-60% voter turnout in Honduras' November 30, 2025 general election, aligning with historical averages—56.7% in 2017 and 68.4% in 2021—tempered by entrenched factors like institutional distrust, gang violence, and economic migration eroding participation. No major developments have shifted sentiment in the past 30 days, but the Supreme Electoral Tribunal's (TSE) ongoing registration drive has added only modest numbers to the 5.2 million voter rolls, signaling apathy amid President Xiomara Castro's administration scandals and fragmented opposition. Lower turnout odds reflect risks from further disillusionment, while higher brackets hinge on primary election turnout later in 2025 potentially galvanizing voters.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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