Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout for Honduras' November 30, 2025, general election at 74.2%, reflecting Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) figures of approximately 3.93 million votes cast from a 6.52 million electoral roll—yielding 60.19% preliminarily—but adjusted downward amid irregularities in over 300 unprocessed actas, biometric failures, and sabotaged special scrutiny reported through December 2025. This marks an 8.4-point drop from 2021's 68.58%, attributed to expanded registry, heightened abstentionism, fraud allegations, and polarization despite initial high participation claims. The European Union's March 3, 2026, observation report highlighted governance deficiencies and blockades, sustaining uncertainty over final certification and bolstering bets below 60% while <55% trails at 17.5%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于55-60% 74.2%
<55% 17.5%
分组项标题:60-65% 4.0%
$1,584,902 交易量
$1,584,902 交易量
<55%
18%
55-60%
74%
分组项标题:60-65%
4%
55-60% 74.2%
<55% 17.5%
分组项标题:60-65% 4.0%
$1,584,902 交易量
$1,584,902 交易量
<55%
18%
55-60%
74%
分组项标题:60-65%
4%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
市场开放时间: Nov 29, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 55-60% voter turnout for Honduras' November 30, 2025, general election at 74.2%, reflecting Consejo Nacional Electoral (CNE) figures of approximately 3.93 million votes cast from a 6.52 million electoral roll—yielding 60.19% preliminarily—but adjusted downward amid irregularities in over 300 unprocessed actas, biometric failures, and sabotaged special scrutiny reported through December 2025. This marks an 8.4-point drop from 2021's 68.58%, attributed to expanded registry, heightened abstentionism, fraud allegations, and polarization despite initial high participation claims. The European Union's March 3, 2026, observation report highlighted governance deficiencies and blockades, sustaining uncertainty over final certification and bolstering bets below 60% while <55% trails at 17.5%.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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