Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors President Trump's Silver Bulletin job approval rating falling in the 40.0–40.4% range on March 27, 2026, reflecting a finalized daily average amid a sharp second-term decline to a net approval of -16.7. Surging gas prices triggered by the ongoing Iran War have eroded support, with net ratings on the economy at -21.3 and inflation at -32.7—both near lows—while strong disapproval hit 46.7%. Public backlash over foreign conflicts and affordability, evident in recent polls averaging mid-30s to low-40s, solidified this positioning over the past week. Revisions to the Silver Bulletin data or late-breaking polls could theoretically challenge it, though such shifts are rare post-finalization.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于40.0–40.4 100.0%
<40.0 <1%
40.5–40.9 <1%
41.0–41.4 <1%
$63,236 交易量
$63,236 交易量
Mar 28, 2026
<40.0
No
40.0–40.4
Yes
40.5–40.9
No
41.0–41.4
No
41.5–41.9
No
42.0+
No
40.0–40.4 100.0%
<40.0 <1%
40.5–40.9 <1%
41.0–41.4 <1%
$63,236 交易量
$63,236 交易量
Mar 28, 2026
<40.0
$17,786 交易量
No
40.0–40.4
$19,938 交易量
Yes
40.5–40.9
$8,982 交易量
No
41.0–41.4
$5,271 交易量
No
41.5–41.9
$4,810 交易量
No
42.0+
$6,448 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 27, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors President Trump's Silver Bulletin job approval rating falling in the 40.0–40.4% range on March 27, 2026, reflecting a finalized daily average amid a sharp second-term decline to a net approval of -16.7. Surging gas prices triggered by the ongoing Iran War have eroded support, with net ratings on the economy at -21.3 and inflation at -32.7—both near lows—while strong disapproval hit 46.7%. Public backlash over foreign conflicts and affordability, evident in recent polls averaging mid-30s to low-40s, solidified this positioning over the past week. Revisions to the Silver Bulletin data or late-breaking polls could theoretically challenge it, though such shifts are rare post-finalization.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 27, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
交易量
$63,236结束日期
Mar 28, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 27, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors President Trump's Silver Bulletin job approval rating falling in the 40.0–40.4% range on March 27, 2026, reflecting a finalized daily average amid a sharp second-term decline to a net approval of -16.7. Surging gas prices triggered by the ongoing Iran War have eroded support, with net ratings on the economy at -21.3 and inflation at -32.7—both near lows—while strong disapproval hit 46.7%. Public backlash over foreign conflicts and affordability, evident in recent polls averaging mid-30s to low-40s, solidified this positioning over the past week. Revisions to the Silver Bulletin data or late-breaking polls could theoretically challenge it, though such shifts are rare post-finalization.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on March 27, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$63,236结束日期
Mar 28, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors President Trump's Silver Bulletin job approval rating falling in the 40.0–40.4% range on March 27, 2026, reflecting a finalized daily average amid a sharp second-term decline to a net approval of -16.7. Surging gas prices triggered by the ongoing Iran War have eroded support, with net ratings on the economy at -21.3 and inflation at -32.7—both near lows—while strong disapproval hit 46.7%. Public backlash over foreign conflicts and affordability, evident in recent polls averaging mid-30s to low-40s, solidified this positioning over the past week. Revisions to the Silver Bulletin data or late-breaking polls could theoretically challenge it, though such shifts are rare post-finalization.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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