Market icon
经济·全局费率

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

Market icon
经济·全局费率

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?

4月 7

5月 27

4月 7

5月 27

No Change 81%

Increase 16%

Decrease 6.0%

Polymarket
最新

No Change 81%

Increase 16%

Decrease 6.0%

Polymarket
最新

Increase

$253 交易量

16%

No Change

$411 交易量

81%

Decrease

$711 交易量

6%

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 2026 meeting, reflecting the February decision to hold at 2.25% amid projections for CPI inflation to return toward the 2% midpoint of the 1-3% target band over the next year. This positioning stems from subdued economic activity, with unemployment at 5.4% in Q4 2025 and filled jobs declining 0.2% year-over-year, justifying stimulatory policy below the neutral rate of around 3%. Recent upside risks to inflation, including a 3.1% annual CPI print for Q4 2025 and energy cost spikes from Middle East tensions, have lifted hike odds to 16%, though Governor Breman signaled on March 23 that temporary shocks would be looked through. A 5.9% chance of cuts underscores low deflation risks. Traders eye the April 8 policy review for signals ahead of May.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$1,375
结束日期
2026-05-27
市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 81% implied probability of no change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at its May 2026 meeting, reflecting the February decision to hold at 2.25% amid projections for CPI inflation to return toward the 2% midpoint of the 1-3% target band over the next year. This positioning stems from subdued economic activity, with unemployment at 5.4% in Q4 2025 and filled jobs declining 0.2% year-over-year, justifying stimulatory policy below the neutral rate of around 3%. Recent upside risks to inflation, including a 3.1% annual CPI print for Q4 2025 and energy cost spikes from Middle East tensions, have lifted hike odds to 16%, though Governor Breman signaled on March 23 that temporary shocks would be looked through. A 5.9% chance of cuts underscores low deflation risks. Traders eye the April 8 policy review for signals ahead of May.

This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$1,375
结束日期
2026-05-27
市场开放时间
Feb 17, 2026, 5:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the official cash rate (OCR) resulting from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s May monetary policy decision, relative to the level it was prior to this decision. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its May 27, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy] This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their May 27, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the date of the next scheduled monetary policy decision, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"No Change"，概率为 81%，其次是"Increase"，概率为 16%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 81¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 81%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Feb 17, 2026上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?"的当前领先者是"No Change"，概率为 81%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 81%。紧随其后的结果是"Increase"，概率为 16%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in May?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。