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2027年之前的美国国债峰值？

Market icon

2027年之前的美国国债峰值？

Dec 31

Dec 31

NEW
Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,481 交易量

Polymarket

40万亿美元

$0 交易量

98%

41万亿美元

$0 交易量

45%

42万亿美元

$3,481 交易量

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.US national debt has surpassed $36 trillion amid fiscal year 2024's record $1.8 trillion deficit, fueled by surging interest payments—now exceeding defense spending—and growth in mandatory programs like Social Security and Medicare outpacing revenues. CBO's August 2024 long-term outlook projects steady increases to 122% of GDP by 2034 under current law, with no baseline peak before 2027 absent major policy shifts. Congress recently passed a continuing resolution averting shutdown while suspending the debt ceiling until January 2, 2025, spotlighting brinkmanship risks in the lame-duck session and new Congress post-November election. Key upcoming catalysts include mid-January debt limit deadlines, FY2025 appropriations votes, and potential reconciliation bills altering deficits.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
交易量
$3,481
结束日期
Dec 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.US national debt has surpassed $36 trillion amid fiscal year 2024's record $1.8 trillion deficit, fueled by surging interest payments—now exceeding defense spending—and growth in mandatory programs like Social Security and Medicare outpacing revenues. CBO's August 2024 long-term outlook projects steady increases to 122% of GDP by 2034 under current law, with no baseline peak before 2027 absent major policy shifts. Congress recently passed a continuing resolution averting shutdown while suspending the debt ceiling until January 2, 2025, spotlighting brinkmanship risks in the lame-duck session and new Congress post-November election. Key upcoming catalysts include mid-January debt limit deadlines, FY2025 appropriations votes, and potential reconciliation bills altering deficits.

US national debt has surpassed $36 trillion amid fiscal year 2024's record $1.8 trillion deficit, fueled by surging interest payments—now exceeding defense spending—and growth in mandatory programs like Social Security and Medicare outpacing revenues. CBO's August 2024 long-term outlook projects steady increases to 122% of GDP by 2034 under current law, with no baseline peak before 2027 absent major policy shifts. Congress recently passed a continuing resolution averting shutdown while suspending the debt ceiling until January 2, 2025, spotlighting brinkmanship risks in the lame-duck session and new Congress post-November election. Key upcoming catalysts include mid-January debt limit deadlines, FY2025 appropriations votes, and potential reconciliation bills altering deficits.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"2027年之前的美国国债峰值？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"39万亿美元"，概率为 100%，其次是"40万亿美元"，概率为 98%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"2027年之前的美国国债峰值？"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场，于Nov 5, 2025上线。作为一个新市场，这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签，以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"2027年之前的美国国债峰值？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"2027年之前的美国国债峰值？"的当前领先者是"39万亿美元"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"40万亿美元"，概率为 98%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"2027年之前的美国国债峰值？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。