Governor Kevin Stitt's March 24 appointment of energy executive Alan Armstrong as interim U.S. Senator—serving until the November 3 election—has intensified Oklahoma's open Class II Senate race following Markwayne Mullin's confirmation as Homeland Security Secretary. Rep. Kevin Hern leads early Republican primary polls with 52% support against hypotheticals, bolstered by strong fundraising exceeding $1.8 million, while Democratic contenders like Troy Green lag far behind. Trader consensus prices a 93.5% Republican win reflecting Oklahoma's deep-red electoral math, consistent GOP supermajorities, and no Democratic statewide federal victory since 1994. Primary on June 16 could feature a runoff August 25; upset scenarios include GOP nominee scandal or unforeseen national midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$11,098 交易量
$11,098 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
94%
民主党
5%
$11,098 交易量
$11,098 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$6,634 交易量
94%
民主党
$4,464 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Governor Kevin Stitt's March 24 appointment of energy executive Alan Armstrong as interim U.S. Senator—serving until the November 3 election—has intensified Oklahoma's open Class II Senate race following Markwayne Mullin's confirmation as Homeland Security Secretary. Rep. Kevin Hern leads early Republican primary polls with 52% support against hypotheticals, bolstered by strong fundraising exceeding $1.8 million, while Democratic contenders like Troy Green lag far behind. Trader consensus prices a 93.5% Republican win reflecting Oklahoma's deep-red electoral math, consistent GOP supermajorities, and no Democratic statewide federal victory since 1994. Primary on June 16 could feature a runoff August 25; upset scenarios include GOP nominee scandal or unforeseen national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$11,098结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Governor Kevin Stitt's March 24 appointment of energy executive Alan Armstrong as interim U.S. Senator—serving until the November 3 election—has intensified Oklahoma's open Class II Senate race following Markwayne Mullin's confirmation as Homeland Security Secretary. Rep. Kevin Hern leads early Republican primary polls with 52% support against hypotheticals, bolstered by strong fundraising exceeding $1.8 million, while Democratic contenders like Troy Green lag far behind. Trader consensus prices a 93.5% Republican win reflecting Oklahoma's deep-red electoral math, consistent GOP supermajorities, and no Democratic statewide federal victory since 1994. Primary on June 16 could feature a runoff August 25; upset scenarios include GOP nominee scandal or unforeseen national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$11,098结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Governor Kevin Stitt's March 24 appointment of energy executive Alan Armstrong as interim U.S. Senator—serving until the November 3 election—has intensified Oklahoma's open Class II Senate race following Markwayne Mullin's confirmation as Homeland Security Secretary. Rep. Kevin Hern leads early Republican primary polls with 52% support against hypotheticals, bolstered by strong fundraising exceeding $1.8 million, while Democratic contenders like Troy Green lag far behind. Trader consensus prices a 93.5% Republican win reflecting Oklahoma's deep-red electoral math, consistent GOP supermajorities, and no Democratic statewide federal victory since 1994. Primary on June 16 could feature a runoff August 25; upset scenarios include GOP nominee scandal or unforeseen national midterm dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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