Recent polling averages, including Quantus Insights (March 13–14) showing Amy Acton (D) at 46% to Vivek Ramaswamy's (R) 45% and EMC Research (February 10–22) with Acton up 53%–43%, underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 51% implied probability in this open-seat Ohio gubernatorial race. As a battleground state where Republicans have held the governorship since 2010 amid term-limited Mike DeWine, the contest remains tight due to Acton's appeal to suburban women and independents, offset by Ramaswamy's national profile and primary dominance backed by Trump and Vance endorsements. May 5 primaries loom as potential catalysts, with national midterm dynamics, turnout in swing counties, and debate performances poised to tip the balance toward Electoral College-like battleground volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$68,689 交易量
$68,689 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
51%
共和党
45%
$68,689 交易量
$68,689 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$34,642 交易量
51%
共和党
$34,046 交易量
45%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages, including Quantus Insights (March 13–14) showing Amy Acton (D) at 46% to Vivek Ramaswamy's (R) 45% and EMC Research (February 10–22) with Acton up 53%–43%, underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 51% implied probability in this open-seat Ohio gubernatorial race. As a battleground state where Republicans have held the governorship since 2010 amid term-limited Mike DeWine, the contest remains tight due to Acton's appeal to suburban women and independents, offset by Ramaswamy's national profile and primary dominance backed by Trump and Vance endorsements. May 5 primaries loom as potential catalysts, with national midterm dynamics, turnout in swing counties, and debate performances poised to tip the balance toward Electoral College-like battleground volatility.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
交易量
$68,689结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages, including Quantus Insights (March 13–14) showing Amy Acton (D) at 46% to Vivek Ramaswamy's (R) 45% and EMC Research (February 10–22) with Acton up 53%–43%, underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 51% implied probability in this open-seat Ohio gubernatorial race. As a battleground state where Republicans have held the governorship since 2010 amid term-limited Mike DeWine, the contest remains tight due to Acton's appeal to suburban women and independents, offset by Ramaswamy's national profile and primary dominance backed by Trump and Vance endorsements. May 5 primaries loom as potential catalysts, with national midterm dynamics, turnout in swing counties, and debate performances poised to tip the balance toward Electoral College-like battleground volatility.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$68,689结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages, including Quantus Insights (March 13–14) showing Amy Acton (D) at 46% to Vivek Ramaswamy's (R) 45% and EMC Research (February 10–22) with Acton up 53%–43%, underpin trader consensus favoring Democrats at 51% implied probability in this open-seat Ohio gubernatorial race. As a battleground state where Republicans have held the governorship since 2010 amid term-limited Mike DeWine, the contest remains tight due to Acton's appeal to suburban women and independents, offset by Ramaswamy's national profile and primary dominance backed by Trump and Vance endorsements. May 5 primaries loom as potential catalysts, with national midterm dynamics, turnout in swing counties, and debate performances poised to tip the balance toward Electoral College-like battleground volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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