Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's commanding 71%-28% victory in the 2024 general election, coupled with the district's D+18 partisan lean, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party control at over 90% for the November 2026 contest. Consistent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid or Safe Democratic reflect the absence of credible Republican challengers, with no GOP primary candidates filed ahead of the April filing deadline and June 23 primary. No polls have emerged, but historical dominance in Westchester and Bronx suburbs sustains this positioning. Upsets could arise from a disruptive Democratic primary, Latimer scandal, high-profile GOP recruit, or national midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$5,598 交易量
94%
共和党
$3,771 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's commanding 71%-28% victory in the 2024 general election, coupled with the district's D+18 partisan lean, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party control at over 90% for the November 2026 contest. Consistent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid or Safe Democratic reflect the absence of credible Republican challengers, with no GOP primary candidates filed ahead of the April filing deadline and June 23 primary. No polls have emerged, but historical dominance in Westchester and Bronx suburbs sustains this positioning. Upsets could arise from a disruptive Democratic primary, Latimer scandal, high-profile GOP recruit, or national midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$9,369结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's commanding 71%-28% victory in the 2024 general election, coupled with the district's D+18 partisan lean, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party control at over 90% for the November 2026 contest. Consistent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid or Safe Democratic reflect the absence of credible Republican challengers, with no GOP primary candidates filed ahead of the April filing deadline and June 23 primary. No polls have emerged, but historical dominance in Westchester and Bronx suburbs sustains this positioning. Upsets could arise from a disruptive Democratic primary, Latimer scandal, high-profile GOP recruit, or national midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,369结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer's commanding 71%-28% victory in the 2024 general election, coupled with the district's D+18 partisan lean, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party control at over 90% for the November 2026 contest. Consistent ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball as Solid or Safe Democratic reflect the absence of credible Republican challengers, with no GOP primary candidates filed ahead of the April filing deadline and June 23 primary. No polls have emerged, but historical dominance in Westchester and Bronx suburbs sustains this positioning. Upsets could arise from a disruptive Democratic primary, Latimer scandal, high-profile GOP recruit, or national midterm wave shifting turnout dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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