The NJ-12 House race, an open seat following Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement, commands 91.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party due to the district's strong D+13 partisan voter index, historical blowout margins exceeding 25 points, and a crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary featuring well-funded contenders like mayors Brad Cohen and Adrian Mapp alongside state legislator Verlina Reynolds-Jackson. Recent March 23 filing deadline developments confirmed a lone Republican perennial candidate, Gregg Mele, with minimal fundraising, underscoring GOP recruitment weakness in this safe Democratic Central Jersey district spanning Middlesex, Somerset, Mercer, and Union counties. June 2 primaries loom as the next catalyst; a bloody Democratic contest yielding a weakened nominee, sudden GOP momentum, or national midterm wave could challenge the lopsided odds, though structural barriers remain high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
92%
共和党
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
92%
共和党
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NJ-12 House race, an open seat following Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement, commands 91.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party due to the district's strong D+13 partisan voter index, historical blowout margins exceeding 25 points, and a crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary featuring well-funded contenders like mayors Brad Cohen and Adrian Mapp alongside state legislator Verlina Reynolds-Jackson. Recent March 23 filing deadline developments confirmed a lone Republican perennial candidate, Gregg Mele, with minimal fundraising, underscoring GOP recruitment weakness in this safe Democratic Central Jersey district spanning Middlesex, Somerset, Mercer, and Union counties. June 2 primaries loom as the next catalyst; a bloody Democratic contest yielding a weakened nominee, sudden GOP momentum, or national midterm wave could challenge the lopsided odds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The NJ-12 House race, an open seat following Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement, commands 91.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party due to the district's strong D+13 partisan voter index, historical blowout margins exceeding 25 points, and a crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary featuring well-funded contenders like mayors Brad Cohen and Adrian Mapp alongside state legislator Verlina Reynolds-Jackson. Recent March 23 filing deadline developments confirmed a lone Republican perennial candidate, Gregg Mele, with minimal fundraising, underscoring GOP recruitment weakness in this safe Democratic Central Jersey district spanning Middlesex, Somerset, Mercer, and Union counties. June 2 primaries loom as the next catalyst; a bloody Democratic contest yielding a weakened nominee, sudden GOP momentum, or national midterm wave could challenge the lopsided odds, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The NJ-12 House race, an open seat following Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement, commands 91.5% trader consensus for the Democratic Party due to the district's strong D+13 partisan voter index, historical blowout margins exceeding 25 points, and a crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary featuring well-funded contenders like mayors Brad Cohen and Adrian Mapp alongside state legislator Verlina Reynolds-Jackson. Recent March 23 filing deadline developments confirmed a lone Republican perennial candidate, Gregg Mele, with minimal fundraising, underscoring GOP recruitment weakness in this safe Democratic Central Jersey district spanning Middlesex, Somerset, Mercer, and Union counties. June 2 primaries loom as the next catalyst; a bloody Democratic contest yielding a weakened nominee, sudden GOP momentum, or national midterm wave could challenge the lopsided odds, though structural barriers remain high.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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