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世界·世界选举

匈牙利下任总理

Market icon
世界·世界选举

匈牙利下任总理

Apr 12

Apr 12

Péter Magyar 66%

Viktor Orbán 34%

拉斯洛·托罗茨凯 <1%

伊什特万·卡皮塔尼 <1%

Polymarket

$36,514,418 交易量

Péter Magyar 66%

Viktor Orbán 34%

拉斯洛·托罗茨凯 <1%

伊什特万·卡皮塔尼 <1%

Polymarket

$36,514,418 交易量

Market icon

Péter Magyar

$4,464,432 交易量

66%

Market icon

Viktor Orbán

$3,926,509 交易量

34%

Market icon

拉斯洛·托罗茨凯

$11,433,352 交易量

<1%

Market icon

伊什特万·卡皮塔尼

$9,389,758 交易量

<1%

Market icon

雅诺什·拉扎尔

$2,838,356 交易量

<1%

Market icon

分组项标题：Klára Dobrev

$4,462,109 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Péter Magyar at 65.5% to become Hungary's next prime minister following the April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing his Tisza party leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance among decided voters. A March 25 Medián survey indicated Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz at 35%, widening from prior months amid anti-incumbent sentiment after 16 years of Orbán rule, economic pressures, and EU tensions. While pro-government polls like Republikon (March 23–26) show Fidesz ahead 49–40% in total population samples, independent averages such as Politico's place Tisza at 52% to Fidesz's 37%. Massive opposition rallies, including Magyar's March 15 Budapest event, have boosted momentum, though high turnout and potential coalition negotiations remain pivotal. Fringe candidates like László Toroczkai trail far behind due to limited support.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Péter Magyar at 65.5% to become Hungary's next prime minister following the April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing his Tisza party leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance among decided voters. A March 25 Medián survey indicated Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz at 35%, widening from prior months amid anti-incumbent sentiment after 16 years of Orbán rule, economic pressures, and EU tensions. While pro-government polls like Republikon (March 23–26) show Fidesz ahead 49–40% in total population samples, independent averages such as Politico's place Tisza at 52% to Fidesz's 37%. Massive opposition rallies, including Magyar's March 15 Budapest event, have boosted momentum, though high turnout and potential coalition negotiations remain pivotal. Fringe candidates like László Toroczkai trail far behind due to limited support.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Péter Magyar at 65.5% to become Hungary's next prime minister following the April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing his Tisza party leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance among decided voters. A March 25 Medián survey indicated Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz at 35%, widening from prior months amid anti-incumbent sentiment after 16 years of Orbán rule, economic pressures, and EU tensions. While pro-government polls like Republikon (March 23–26) show Fidesz ahead 49–40% in total population samples, independent averages such as Politico's place Tisza at 52% to Fidesz's 37%. Massive opposition rallies, including Magyar's March 15 Budapest event, have boosted momentum, though high turnout and potential coalition negotiations remain pivotal. Fringe candidates like László Toroczkai trail far behind due to limited support.

Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Péter Magyar at 65.5% to become Hungary's next prime minister following the April 12 parliamentary election, reflecting recent polls showing his Tisza party leading Viktor Orbán's Fidesz–KDNP alliance among decided voters. A March 25 Medián survey indicated Tisza at 58% versus Fidesz at 35%, widening from prior months amid anti-incumbent sentiment after 16 years of Orbán rule, economic pressures, and EU tensions. While pro-government polls like Republikon (March 23–26) show Fidesz ahead 49–40% in total population samples, independent averages such as Politico's place Tisza at 52% to Fidesz's 37%. Massive opposition rallies, including Magyar's March 15 Budapest event, have boosted momentum, though high turnout and potential coalition negotiations remain pivotal. Fringe candidates like László Toroczkai trail far behind due to limited support.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"匈牙利下任总理"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 6 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Péter Magyar"，概率为 66%，其次是"Viktor Orbán"，概率为 34%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 66¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 66%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"匈牙利下任总理"已产生 $36.5 million 的总交易量（自Jul 24, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"匈牙利下任总理"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 6 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"匈牙利下任总理"的当前领先者是"Péter Magyar"，概率为 66%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 66%。紧随其后的结果是"Viktor Orbán"，概率为 34%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"匈牙利下任总理"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。