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2025年将失去权力的下一任领导人?

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2025年将失去权力的下一任领导人?

分组项标题:2025年无 100.0%

埃尔多安 - 土耳其总统 <1%

习近平 - 中共中央总书记 <1%

内塔尼亚胡 - 以色列总理 <1%

Polymarket

$2,242,167 交易量

分组项标题:2025年无 100.0%

埃尔多安 - 土耳其总统 <1%

习近平 - 中共中央总书记 <1%

内塔尼亚胡 - 以色列总理 <1%

Polymarket

$2,242,167 交易量

埃尔多安 - 土耳其总统

$34,366 交易量

习近平 - 中共中央总书记

$40,288 交易量

内塔尼亚胡 - 以色列总理

$101,780 交易量

纽瑟姆 - 加利福尼亚州州长

$29,030 交易量

斯塔默 - 英国首相

$52,843 交易量

分组项标题:泽连斯基 - 乌克兰总统

$96,872 交易量

卢拉·达·席尔瓦 - 巴西总统

$137,247 交易量

勒克诺尔 - 法国总理

$101,635 交易量

分组项标题:高市早苗 - 日本首相

$190,847 交易量

分组项标题:2025年无

$326,884 交易量

阿巴斯 - 巴勒斯坦总统

$68,250 交易量

分组项标题:马克龙 - 法国总统

$38,359 交易量

金正恩 - 朝鲜最高领导人

$38,148 交易量

哈梅内伊 - 伊朗最高领袖

$106,133 交易量

阿尔巴内塞 - 澳大利亚总理

$56,815 交易量

分组条目标题:哈维尔·米莱伊 - 阿根廷总统

$28,766 交易量

特朗普 - 美国总统

$151,576 交易量

普京 - 俄罗斯总统

$63,709 交易量

马杜罗 - 委内瑞拉总统

$215,906 交易量

Schoof - 荷兰总理

$268,097 交易量

分组项标题:默茨 - 德国总理

$36,396 交易量

桑切斯 - 西班牙首相

$56,069 交易量

This market will resolve according to the second individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,242,167
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Oct 21, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the second individual that ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2025年将失去权力的下一任领导人?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "分组项标题:2025年无" at 100%, followed by "埃尔多安 - 土耳其总统" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025年将失去权力的下一任领导人?" has generated $2.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 21, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025年将失去权力的下一任领导人?," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025年将失去权力的下一任领导人?" is "分组项标题:2025年无" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "埃尔多安 - 土耳其总统" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025年将失去权力的下一任领导人?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.