Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the New York Republican gubernatorial primary stems from the state GOP's unanimous designation of him as nominee at its February convention, following Rep. Elise Stefanik's December withdrawal from the race and President Trump's endorsement. With the June 23 primary approaching and the April 6 filing deadline imminent, no major challengers have materialized, leaving fringe candidates like Pat Hahn far behind amid party unity. Trader consensus reflects low risk of a contested primary, though a high-profile late entrant, scandal, or ballot access dispute could shift odds before petitions are validated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于布鲁斯·布莱克曼 92%
帕特·哈恩 3.8%
埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克 2.6%
大卫·塔利 <1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 23, 2026
布鲁斯·布莱克曼
92%
帕特·哈恩
4%
埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克
3%
大卫·塔利
1%
贝齐·麦考伊
<1%
布鲁斯·布莱克曼 92%
帕特·哈恩 3.8%
埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克 2.6%
大卫·塔利 <1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 23, 2026
布鲁斯·布莱克曼
$0 交易量
92%
帕特·哈恩
$0 交易量
4%
埃莉斯·斯特凡尼克
$0 交易量
3%
大卫·塔利
$0 交易量
1%
贝齐·麦考伊
$1,826 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the New York Republican gubernatorial primary stems from the state GOP's unanimous designation of him as nominee at its February convention, following Rep. Elise Stefanik's December withdrawal from the race and President Trump's endorsement. With the June 23 primary approaching and the April 6 filing deadline imminent, no major challengers have materialized, leaving fringe candidates like Pat Hahn far behind amid party unity. Trader consensus reflects low risk of a contested primary, though a high-profile late entrant, scandal, or ballot access dispute could shift odds before petitions are validated.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ET
交易量
$1,826结束日期
Jun 23, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the New York Republican gubernatorial primary stems from the state GOP's unanimous designation of him as nominee at its February convention, following Rep. Elise Stefanik's December withdrawal from the race and President Trump's endorsement. With the June 23 primary approaching and the April 6 filing deadline imminent, no major challengers have materialized, leaving fringe candidates like Pat Hahn far behind amid party unity. Trader consensus reflects low risk of a contested primary, though a high-profile late entrant, scandal, or ballot access dispute could shift odds before petitions are validated.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$1,826结束日期
Jun 23, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 5:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nassau County Executive Bruce Blakeman's commanding 91.5% implied probability in the New York Republican gubernatorial primary stems from the state GOP's unanimous designation of him as nominee at its February convention, following Rep. Elise Stefanik's December withdrawal from the race and President Trump's endorsement. With the June 23 primary approaching and the April 6 filing deadline imminent, no major challengers have materialized, leaving fringe candidates like Pat Hahn far behind amid party unity. Trader consensus reflects low risk of a contested primary, though a high-profile late entrant, scandal, or ballot access dispute could shift odds before petitions are validated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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