Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for re-election in New Hampshire's two-year gubernatorial term contest, buoyed by consistent polling advantages over Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jon Kiper following her nine-point 2024 victory. A mid-March Saint Anselm College survey of registered voters showed Ayotte ahead 46%-39% against Warmington and 47%-37% against Kiper, while earlier University of New Hampshire polls in January reflected double-digit edges amid mixed approval ratings that dipped to net negative in February. Warmington's February campaign launch has not closed the gap, underscoring Ayotte's incumbency edge in this swing state. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 loom as key tests amid competitive Democratic primary dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
75%
民主党
23%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$2,488 交易量
75%
民主党
$3,079 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for re-election in New Hampshire's two-year gubernatorial term contest, buoyed by consistent polling advantages over Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jon Kiper following her nine-point 2024 victory. A mid-March Saint Anselm College survey of registered voters showed Ayotte ahead 46%-39% against Warmington and 47%-37% against Kiper, while earlier University of New Hampshire polls in January reflected double-digit edges amid mixed approval ratings that dipped to net negative in February. Warmington's February campaign launch has not closed the gap, underscoring Ayotte's incumbency edge in this swing state. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 loom as key tests amid competitive Democratic primary dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$5,568结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for re-election in New Hampshire's two-year gubernatorial term contest, buoyed by consistent polling advantages over Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jon Kiper following her nine-point 2024 victory. A mid-March Saint Anselm College survey of registered voters showed Ayotte ahead 46%-39% against Warmington and 47%-37% against Kiper, while earlier University of New Hampshire polls in January reflected double-digit edges amid mixed approval ratings that dipped to net negative in February. Warmington's February campaign launch has not closed the gap, underscoring Ayotte's incumbency edge in this swing state. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 loom as key tests amid competitive Democratic primary dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$5,568结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Gov. Kelly Ayotte leads trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for re-election in New Hampshire's two-year gubernatorial term contest, buoyed by consistent polling advantages over Democratic challengers Cinde Warmington and Jon Kiper following her nine-point 2024 victory. A mid-March Saint Anselm College survey of registered voters showed Ayotte ahead 46%-39% against Warmington and 47%-37% against Kiper, while earlier University of New Hampshire polls in January reflected double-digit edges amid mixed approval ratings that dipped to net negative in February. Warmington's February campaign launch has not closed the gap, underscoring Ayotte's incumbency edge in this swing state. Primaries on September 8 and the general election November 3 loom as key tests amid competitive Democratic primary dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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