Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a strong position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democratic nominee Colby Watson. The district's partisan voting index and Harris's 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Harris advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary, while Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the same cycle. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and structural advantages for the incumbent. No significant shifts from polling trends, candidate announcements, or district dynamics have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$13,676 交易量
$13,676 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
85%
民主党
15%
$13,676 交易量
$13,676 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$5,674 交易量
85%
民主党
$8,002 交易量
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a strong position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democratic nominee Colby Watson. The district's partisan voting index and Harris's 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Harris advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary, while Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the same cycle. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and structural advantages for the incumbent. No significant shifts from polling trends, candidate announcements, or district dynamics have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$13,676结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a strong position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democratic nominee Colby Watson. The district's partisan voting index and Harris's 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Harris advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary, while Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the same cycle. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and structural advantages for the incumbent. No significant shifts from polling trends, candidate announcements, or district dynamics have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,676结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mark Harris holds a strong position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district for the November 2026 general election, where he faces Democratic nominee Colby Watson. The district's partisan voting index and Harris's 2024 victory with nearly 60 percent of the vote underpin trader consensus favoring a Republican outcome. Harris advanced unopposed through the March Republican primary, while Watson secured the Democratic nomination in the same cycle. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting limited competitive pressure and structural advantages for the incumbent. No significant shifts from polling trends, candidate announcements, or district dynamics have altered this positioning in recent weeks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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