Incumbent Republican Mark Harris advanced unopposed through the March 3 Republican primary in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, a race rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results. Harris's 2024 general election victory by nearly 20 points (59.6%-40.4%) over Democrat Justin Dues underscores the district's reliable GOP base in the southern Piedmont region, bolstered by October 2025 redistricting. Democrat Colby Watson emerged from a contested primary with 48% support but limited fundraising, facing steep structural barriers including weak historical Democratic performance and no early polling shifts. Trader consensus at 87.5% for Republicans reflects incumbency advantages and base rates for safe districts ahead of the November 3 general election, though national trends or scandals could alter dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
88%
民主党
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$1,597 交易量
88%
民主党
$2,159 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris advanced unopposed through the March 3 Republican primary in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, a race rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results. Harris's 2024 general election victory by nearly 20 points (59.6%-40.4%) over Democrat Justin Dues underscores the district's reliable GOP base in the southern Piedmont region, bolstered by October 2025 redistricting. Democrat Colby Watson emerged from a contested primary with 48% support but limited fundraising, facing steep structural barriers including weak historical Democratic performance and no early polling shifts. Trader consensus at 87.5% for Republicans reflects incumbency advantages and base rates for safe districts ahead of the November 3 general election, though national trends or scandals could alter dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$3,756结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris advanced unopposed through the March 3 Republican primary in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, a race rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results. Harris's 2024 general election victory by nearly 20 points (59.6%-40.4%) over Democrat Justin Dues underscores the district's reliable GOP base in the southern Piedmont region, bolstered by October 2025 redistricting. Democrat Colby Watson emerged from a contested primary with 48% support but limited fundraising, facing steep structural barriers including weak historical Democratic performance and no early polling shifts. Trader consensus at 87.5% for Republicans reflects incumbency advantages and base rates for safe districts ahead of the November 3 general election, though national trends or scandals could alter dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$3,756结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Harris advanced unopposed through the March 3 Republican primary in North Carolina's 8th Congressional District, a race rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+10 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results. Harris's 2024 general election victory by nearly 20 points (59.6%-40.4%) over Democrat Justin Dues underscores the district's reliable GOP base in the southern Piedmont region, bolstered by October 2025 redistricting. Democrat Colby Watson emerged from a contested primary with 48% support but limited fundraising, facing steep structural barriers including weak historical Democratic performance and no early polling shifts. Trader consensus at 87.5% for Republicans reflects incumbency advantages and base rates for safe districts ahead of the November 3 general election, though national trends or scandals could alter dynamics.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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