Incumbent Rep. Richard Hudson advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary on March 3 in North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Richard Ojeda, who captured the fractured Democratic primary with 42% amid four candidates. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan lean—reflecting strong historical GOP margins like Hudson's 56% in 2024—traders price Republicans at 84% implied probability, bolstered by Hudson's fundraising dominance ($1.1 million cash-on-hand versus Ojeda's $90,000 as of February) and consistent safe ratings from Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Absent national midterm waves or scandals, the November 3 contest favors the incumbent in this reliably red district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
84%
民主党
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和党
$0 交易量
84%
民主党
$2,261 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Richard Hudson advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary on March 3 in North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Richard Ojeda, who captured the fractured Democratic primary with 42% amid four candidates. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan lean—reflecting strong historical GOP margins like Hudson's 56% in 2024—traders price Republicans at 84% implied probability, bolstered by Hudson's fundraising dominance ($1.1 million cash-on-hand versus Ojeda's $90,000 as of February) and consistent safe ratings from Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Absent national midterm waves or scandals, the November 3 contest favors the incumbent in this reliably red district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$2,261结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Richard Hudson advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary on March 3 in North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Richard Ojeda, who captured the fractured Democratic primary with 42% amid four candidates. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan lean—reflecting strong historical GOP margins like Hudson's 56% in 2024—traders price Republicans at 84% implied probability, bolstered by Hudson's fundraising dominance ($1.1 million cash-on-hand versus Ojeda's $90,000 as of February) and consistent safe ratings from Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Absent national midterm waves or scandals, the November 3 contest favors the incumbent in this reliably red district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$2,261结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Richard Hudson advanced unopposed through the canceled Republican primary on March 3 in North Carolina's 9th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Richard Ojeda, who captured the fractured Democratic primary with 42% amid four candidates. Rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+8 partisan lean—reflecting strong historical GOP margins like Hudson's 56% in 2024—traders price Republicans at 84% implied probability, bolstered by Hudson's fundraising dominance ($1.1 million cash-on-hand versus Ojeda's $90,000 as of February) and consistent safe ratings from Inside Elections and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Absent national midterm waves or scandals, the November 3 contest favors the incumbent in this reliably red district.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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