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政治·主要

明尼苏达州民主党参议院初选获胜者

Market icon
政治·主要

明尼苏达州民主党参议院初选获胜者

佩吉·弗拉纳根 79%

安吉·克雷格 15%

梅丽莎·霍特曼 1.3%

梅丽莎·洛佩斯·弗兰岑 1.3%

Polymarket

$18,790 交易量

佩吉·弗拉纳根 79%

安吉·克雷格 15%

梅丽莎·霍特曼 1.3%

梅丽莎·洛佩斯·弗兰岑 1.3%

Polymarket

$18,790 交易量

佩吉·弗拉纳根

$0 交易量

79%

安吉·克雷格

$4,126 交易量

15%

梅丽莎·霍特曼

$4,255 交易量

1%

梅丽莎·洛佩斯·弗兰岑

$0 交易量

1%

基思·埃利森

$0 交易量

1%

伊尔汗·奥马尔

$0 交易量

1%

贝蒂·麦考勒姆

$3,531 交易量

1%

史蒂夫·西蒙

$0 交易量

1%

大卫·威尔斯通

$6,878 交易量

<1%

雅各布·弗雷

$0 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's 79% implied probability in the Minnesota DFL U.S. Senate primary reflects her sustained polling leads over Rep. Angie Craig—recent surveys show double-digit advantages—bolstered by key endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith, Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, DNC Chair Jaime Harrison, and College Democrats of America as of late March. Craig lingers at 15% buoyed by superior fundraising, though her March op-ed regretting a Laken Riley Act vote amid Minnesota ICE operations has fueled progressive primary critiques. Precinct caucuses in early February highlighted immigration tensions favoring Flanagan's profile, with the August 11 ballot distant but trader consensus pricing low upset risk from trailing officials like AG Keith Ellison or Rep. Ilhan Omar.

Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's 79% implied probability in the Minnesota DFL U.S. Senate primary reflects her sustained polling leads over Rep. Angie Craig—recent surveys show double-digit advantages—bolstered by key endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith, Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, DNC Chair Jaime Harrison, and College Democrats of America as of late March. Craig lingers at 15% buoyed by superior fundraising, though her March op-ed regretting a Laken Riley Act vote amid Minnesota ICE operations has fueled progressive primary critiques. Precinct caucuses in early February highlighted immigration tensions favoring Flanagan's profile, with the August 11 ballot distant but trader consensus pricing low upset risk from trailing officials like AG Keith Ellison or Rep. Ilhan Omar.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Minnesota. If no 2026 Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Minnesota Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's 79% implied probability in the Minnesota DFL U.S. Senate primary reflects her sustained polling leads over Rep. Angie Craig—recent surveys show double-digit advantages—bolstered by key endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith, Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, DNC Chair Jaime Harrison, and College Democrats of America as of late March. Craig lingers at 15% buoyed by superior fundraising, though her March op-ed regretting a Laken Riley Act vote amid Minnesota ICE operations has fueled progressive primary critiques. Precinct caucuses in early February highlighted immigration tensions favoring Flanagan's profile, with the August 11 ballot distant but trader consensus pricing low upset risk from trailing officials like AG Keith Ellison or Rep. Ilhan Omar.

Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan's 79% implied probability in the Minnesota DFL U.S. Senate primary reflects her sustained polling leads over Rep. Angie Craig—recent surveys show double-digit advantages—bolstered by key endorsements from retiring Sen. Tina Smith, Sens. Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders, DNC Chair Jaime Harrison, and College Democrats of America as of late March. Craig lingers at 15% buoyed by superior fundraising, though her March op-ed regretting a Laken Riley Act vote amid Minnesota ICE operations has fueled progressive primary critiques. Precinct caucuses in early February highlighted immigration tensions favoring Flanagan's profile, with the August 11 ballot distant but trader consensus pricing low upset risk from trailing officials like AG Keith Ellison or Rep. Ilhan Omar.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"明尼苏达州民主党参议院初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 10 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"佩吉·弗拉纳根"，概率为 79%，其次是"安吉·克雷格"，概率为 15%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 79¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 79%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"明尼苏达州民主党参议院初选获胜者"已产生 $18.8K 的总交易量（自Dec 2, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"明尼苏达州民主党参议院初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 10 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"明尼苏达州民主党参议院初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"佩吉·弗拉纳根"，概率为 79%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 79%。紧随其后的结果是"安吉·克雷格"，概率为 15%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"明尼苏达州民主党参议院初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。