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选举·美国大选

密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者

Market icon
选举·美国大选

密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者

马洛瑞·麦克莫罗 53%

阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德 34%

海利·史蒂文斯 14%

拉希达·特莱布 <1%

Polymarket

$337,330 交易量

马洛瑞·麦克莫罗 53%

阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德 34%

海利·史蒂文斯 14%

拉希达·特莱布 <1%

Polymarket

$337,330 交易量

马洛瑞·麦克莫罗

$24,776 交易量

53%

阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德

$79,335 交易量

34%

海利·史蒂文斯

$17,815 交易量

14%

拉希达·特莱布

$21,590 交易量

<1%

克里斯汀·麦克唐纳·里维特

$104,267 交易量

<1%

萨拉·安东尼

$10,653 交易量

<1%

马特·萨尔

$53,161 交易量

<1%

达娜·内塞尔

$10,950 交易量

<1%

安迪·莱文

$14,782 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the open Michigan Democratic Senate primary—sparked by Sen. Gary Peters' 2025 retirement announcement—state Sen. Mallory McMorrow holds trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability, propelled by a March 25 Global Strategy Group poll showing her leading 30-25-23% over Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens amid shrinking undecideds, plus Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement and McMorrow's ActBlue fundraising lead of $1.22 million from 55,000 donors. El-Sayed trails at 34% on strong +38 net favorability, while Stevens slips to 14% with weaker +16 favorables and recent polling declines. The three-way millennial contest remains fluid ahead of the August 4 primary, with voter turnout and further endorsements as key swing factors.

In the open Michigan Democratic Senate primary—sparked by Sen. Gary Peters' 2025 retirement announcement—state Sen. Mallory McMorrow holds trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability, propelled by a March 25 Global Strategy Group poll showing her leading 30-25-23% over Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens amid shrinking undecideds, plus Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement and McMorrow's ActBlue fundraising lead of $1.22 million from 55,000 donors. El-Sayed trails at 34% on strong +38 net favorability, while Stevens slips to 14% with weaker +16 favorables and recent polling declines. The three-way millennial contest remains fluid ahead of the August 4 primary, with voter turnout and further endorsements as key swing factors.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan. If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.In the open Michigan Democratic Senate primary—sparked by Sen. Gary Peters' 2025 retirement announcement—state Sen. Mallory McMorrow holds trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability, propelled by a March 25 Global Strategy Group poll showing her leading 30-25-23% over Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens amid shrinking undecideds, plus Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement and McMorrow's ActBlue fundraising lead of $1.22 million from 55,000 donors. El-Sayed trails at 34% on strong +38 net favorability, while Stevens slips to 14% with weaker +16 favorables and recent polling declines. The three-way millennial contest remains fluid ahead of the August 4 primary, with voter turnout and further endorsements as key swing factors.

In the open Michigan Democratic Senate primary—sparked by Sen. Gary Peters' 2025 retirement announcement—state Sen. Mallory McMorrow holds trader consensus at 52.5% implied probability, propelled by a March 25 Global Strategy Group poll showing her leading 30-25-23% over Abdul El-Sayed and Rep. Haley Stevens amid shrinking undecideds, plus Sen. Elizabeth Warren's March 18 endorsement and McMorrow's ActBlue fundraising lead of $1.22 million from 55,000 donors. El-Sayed trails at 34% on strong +38 net favorability, while Stevens slips to 14% with weaker +16 favorables and recent polling declines. The three-way millennial contest remains fluid ahead of the August 4 primary, with voter turnout and further endorsements as key swing factors.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"马洛瑞·麦克莫罗"，概率为 53%，其次是"阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德"，概率为 34%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 53¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 53%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者"已产生 $337.3K 的总交易量（自Sep 15, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者"的当前领先者是"马洛瑞·麦克莫罗"，概率为 53%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 53%。紧随其后的结果是"阿卜杜勒·埃尔-萨耶德"，概率为 34%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"密歇根州民主党参议院初选获胜者"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。