Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 49% implied probability to win the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary on June 23, 2026, reflecting his name recognition as the 2022 nominee and ongoing grassroots campaigning on tax cuts, energy policy, and government oversight. Ed Hale trails at 34%, bolstered by his recent party switch from Democrat, business credentials as a Baltimore entrepreneur, and announcements like his "Contract with Marylanders" platform and lieutenant governor pick. Both frontrunners skipped the first Republican primary debate on March 26, allowing lower-polling candidates like Christopher Bouchat and Steve Hershey limited visibility in the crowded field. Absent recent polls, odds hinge on early filings, fundraising signals, and base turnout dynamics in this open contest against Democratic incumbent Wes Moore.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于丹·考克斯 49%
埃德·黑尔 33.8%
克里斯托弗·布谢特 5%
史蒂夫·赫希 4.0%
$298,900 交易量
$298,900 交易量
丹·考克斯
49%
埃德·黑尔
34%
克里斯托弗·布谢特
5%
史蒂夫·赫希
4%
库尔特·韦德金
3%
卡尔·布伦纳
3%
约翰·迈里克
2%
拉里·霍根
2%
丹·考克斯 49%
埃德·黑尔 33.8%
克里斯托弗·布谢特 5%
史蒂夫·赫希 4.0%
$298,900 交易量
$298,900 交易量
丹·考克斯
49%
埃德·黑尔
34%
克里斯托弗·布谢特
5%
史蒂夫·赫希
4%
库尔特·韦德金
3%
卡尔·布伦纳
3%
约翰·迈里克
2%
拉里·霍根
2%
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 49% implied probability to win the Maryland Republican gubernatorial primary on June 23, 2026, reflecting his name recognition as the 2022 nominee and ongoing grassroots campaigning on tax cuts, energy policy, and government oversight. Ed Hale trails at 34%, bolstered by his recent party switch from Democrat, business credentials as a Baltimore entrepreneur, and announcements like his "Contract with Marylanders" platform and lieutenant governor pick. Both frontrunners skipped the first Republican primary debate on March 26, allowing lower-polling candidates like Christopher Bouchat and Steve Hershey limited visibility in the crowded field. Absent recent polls, odds hinge on early filings, fundraising signals, and base turnout dynamics in this open contest against Democratic incumbent Wes Moore.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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