Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills, term-limited after two terms, is vacating the seat to challenge Sen. Susan Collins, creating an open race resolved by ranked-choice voting in the June 9 primary and plurality general on Nov. 3. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 90% implied probability, reflecting Maine's moderate blue lean—Dems hold the legislature and both congressional seats—and recent gubernatorial wins in 2018 and 2022 amid no general election polls. Recent Impact Research polling (Mar. 19-23) shows Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31%, while Bobby Charles tops fragmented Republicans at 28% per UNH (Feb.); a GOP debate last week highlighted the field's lack of consolidation. Late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
90%
共和党
9%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$0 交易量
90%
共和党
$0 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills, term-limited after two terms, is vacating the seat to challenge Sen. Susan Collins, creating an open race resolved by ranked-choice voting in the June 9 primary and plurality general on Nov. 3. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 90% implied probability, reflecting Maine's moderate blue lean—Dems hold the legislature and both congressional seats—and recent gubernatorial wins in 2018 and 2022 amid no general election polls. Recent Impact Research polling (Mar. 19-23) shows Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31%, while Bobby Charles tops fragmented Republicans at 28% per UNH (Feb.); a GOP debate last week highlighted the field's lack of consolidation. Late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills, term-limited after two terms, is vacating the seat to challenge Sen. Susan Collins, creating an open race resolved by ranked-choice voting in the June 9 primary and plurality general on Nov. 3. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 90% implied probability, reflecting Maine's moderate blue lean—Dems hold the legislature and both congressional seats—and recent gubernatorial wins in 2018 and 2022 amid no general election polls. Recent Impact Research polling (Mar. 19-23) shows Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31%, while Bobby Charles tops fragmented Republicans at 28% per UNH (Feb.); a GOP debate last week highlighted the field's lack of consolidation. Late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Maine gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Gov. Janet Mills, term-limited after two terms, is vacating the seat to challenge Sen. Susan Collins, creating an open race resolved by ranked-choice voting in the June 9 primary and plurality general on Nov. 3. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 90% implied probability, reflecting Maine's moderate blue lean—Dems hold the legislature and both congressional seats—and recent gubernatorial wins in 2018 and 2022 amid no general election polls. Recent Impact Research polling (Mar. 19-23) shows Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 31%, while Bobby Charles tops fragmented Republicans at 28% per UNH (Feb.); a GOP debate last week highlighted the field's lack of consolidation. Late scandals or national midterm dynamics could shift odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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