Trader consensus on the "Maduro Prison Time?" market reflects deep uncertainty in former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's ongoing US federal case, with "No prison time" at 40% edging "60+" months at 32.5% amid pre-trial detention since his January 2026 US capture on narco-terrorism, cocaine-trafficking, and weapons charges that carry potential life sentences. A March 26 New York court hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein saw prosecutors rebuff dismissal bids tied to unpaid legal fees and procedural disputes, with a ruling pending that could accelerate or derail proceedings; Maduro's not-guilty plea and "prisoner of war" claims add volatility. No trial date is set, prolonging the standoff, while a guilty verdict, plea deal, or successful defense motion could sharply separate probabilities in this closely contested field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于无监禁 39%
60年以上 31%
少于20年 14.1%
40–60 14%
$445,170 交易量
$445,170 交易量
Dec 31, 2027
无监禁
39%
少于20年
10%
20-40
7%
40–60
14%
60年以上
34%
无监禁 39%
60年以上 31%
少于20年 14.1%
40–60 14%
$445,170 交易量
$445,170 交易量
Dec 31, 2027
无监禁
$349,211 交易量
39%
少于20年
$27,758 交易量
10%
20-40
$26,825 交易量
7%
40–60
$12,693 交易量
14%
60年以上
$28,683 交易量
34%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the "Maduro Prison Time?" market reflects deep uncertainty in former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's ongoing US federal case, with "No prison time" at 40% edging "60+" months at 32.5% amid pre-trial detention since his January 2026 US capture on narco-terrorism, cocaine-trafficking, and weapons charges that carry potential life sentences. A March 26 New York court hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein saw prosecutors rebuff dismissal bids tied to unpaid legal fees and procedural disputes, with a ruling pending that could accelerate or derail proceedings; Maduro's not-guilty plea and "prisoner of war" claims add volatility. No trial date is set, prolonging the standoff, while a guilty verdict, plea deal, or successful defense motion could sharply separate probabilities in this closely contested field.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
交易量
$445,170结束日期
Dec 31, 2027市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on the "Maduro Prison Time?" market reflects deep uncertainty in former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's ongoing US federal case, with "No prison time" at 40% edging "60+" months at 32.5% amid pre-trial detention since his January 2026 US capture on narco-terrorism, cocaine-trafficking, and weapons charges that carry potential life sentences. A March 26 New York court hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein saw prosecutors rebuff dismissal bids tied to unpaid legal fees and procedural disputes, with a ruling pending that could accelerate or derail proceedings; Maduro's not-guilty plea and "prisoner of war" claims add volatility. No trial date is set, prolonging the standoff, while a guilty verdict, plea deal, or successful defense motion could sharply separate probabilities in this closely contested field.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$445,170结束日期
Dec 31, 2027市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the "Maduro Prison Time?" market reflects deep uncertainty in former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro's ongoing US federal case, with "No prison time" at 40% edging "60+" months at 32.5% amid pre-trial detention since his January 2026 US capture on narco-terrorism, cocaine-trafficking, and weapons charges that carry potential life sentences. A March 26 New York court hearing before Judge Alvin Hellerstein saw prosecutors rebuff dismissal bids tied to unpaid legal fees and procedural disputes, with a ruling pending that could accelerate or derail proceedings; Maduro's not-guilty plea and "prisoner of war" claims add volatility. No trial date is set, prolonging the standoff, while a guilty verdict, plea deal, or successful defense motion could sharply separate probabilities in this closely contested field.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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