Trump's December 1 nomination of Kash Patel as FBI Director has traders pricing in high odds of Senate confirmation by early 2025, given the 53-47 Republican majority, lowering probabilities for an early ouster. Patel's history as a Trump ally and critic of federal agencies fuels partisan opposition from Democrats, but limited GOP dissent—primarily from moderates like Collins and Murkowski—suggests approval amid lame-duck session momentum. No hearing date is set, but sessions resume January 3, potentially accelerating votes before Trump's January 20 inauguration. Markets reflect consensus on Patel's short-to-medium-term tenure stability, barring unforeseen scandals or agency clashes, with historical high turnover in Trump administrations as a baseline risk factor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$45,621 交易量
3月31日
1%
6月30日
11%
$45,621 交易量
3月31日
$34,166 交易量
1%
6月30日
$11,455 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 23, 2026, 1:16 PM ET
交易量
$45,621市场开放时间
Feb 23, 2026, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$45,621市场开放时间
Feb 23, 2026, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's December 1 nomination of Kash Patel as FBI Director has traders pricing in high odds of Senate confirmation by early 2025, given the 53-47 Republican majority, lowering probabilities for an early ouster. Patel's history as a Trump ally and critic of federal agencies fuels partisan opposition from Democrats, but limited GOP dissent—primarily from moderates like Collins and Murkowski—suggests approval amid lame-duck session momentum. No hearing date is set, but sessions resume January 3, potentially accelerating votes before Trump's January 20 inauguration. Markets reflect consensus on Patel's short-to-medium-term tenure stability, barring unforeseen scandals or agency clashes, with historical high turnover in Trump administrations as a baseline risk factor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题