Trump nominated Kash Patel for FBI director on December 1, 2024, but trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism over his confirmation timeline amid Senate Republican reservations from figures like Susan Collins and Thom Tillis, who cite his limited law enforcement experience and past criticisms of intelligence agencies. Patel has held introductory meetings with senators including Chuck Grassley, who voiced support, yet no Judiciary Committee hearing date is scheduled as the Senate recesses until January 3, 2025. Odds imply low near-term resolution probability, with potential for withdrawal or delays hinging on GOP unity in the slim 53-47 majority; rapid shifts could follow holiday outreach or Trump pressure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$45,621 交易量
3月31日
1%
6月30日
11%
$45,621 交易量
3月31日
$34,166 交易量
1%
6月30日
$11,455 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Feb 23, 2026, 1:16 PM ET
交易量
$45,621市场开放时间
Feb 23, 2026, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$45,621市场开放时间
Feb 23, 2026, 1:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump nominated Kash Patel for FBI director on December 1, 2024, but trader consensus on Polymarket reflects skepticism over his confirmation timeline amid Senate Republican reservations from figures like Susan Collins and Thom Tillis, who cite his limited law enforcement experience and past criticisms of intelligence agencies. Patel has held introductory meetings with senators including Chuck Grassley, who voiced support, yet no Judiciary Committee hearing date is scheduled as the Senate recesses until January 3, 2025. Odds imply low near-term resolution probability, with potential for withdrawal or delays hinging on GOP unity in the slim 53-47 majority; rapid shifts could follow holiday outreach or Trump pressure.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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