Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa's April 1 statement claiming Israel refused normalization at the last minute—despite reaching "good points" in talks—highlights persistent security tensions driving trader caution on diplomatic breakthrough by June 30, 2026. Israel maintains troops in southern Syria, citing threats post-Bashar al-Assad's ouster and the HTS-led transition, while demanding Golan Heights sovereignty recognition and de-escalation guarantees. US-brokered Paris talks in January established an intelligence-sharing mechanism, signaling potential progress amid Syria's push for legitimacy, but domestic instability, including recent sectarian clashes, and unresolved territorial disputes sustain uncertainty. No major scheduled summits loom before resolution, leaving odds reflecting these formidable barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,720,844 交易量
2025-12-31
June 30, 2026
6%
2026年12月31日
16%
$1,720,844 交易量
June 30, 2026
$296,122 交易量
6%
2026年12月31日
$587,456 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa's April 1 statement claiming Israel refused normalization at the last minute—despite reaching "good points" in talks—highlights persistent security tensions driving trader caution on diplomatic breakthrough by June 30, 2026. Israel maintains troops in southern Syria, citing threats post-Bashar al-Assad's ouster and the HTS-led transition, while demanding Golan Heights sovereignty recognition and de-escalation guarantees. US-brokered Paris talks in January established an intelligence-sharing mechanism, signaling potential progress amid Syria's push for legitimacy, but domestic instability, including recent sectarian clashes, and unresolved territorial disputes sustain uncertainty. No major scheduled summits loom before resolution, leaving odds reflecting these formidable barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ET
交易量
$1,720,844结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa's April 1 statement claiming Israel refused normalization at the last minute—despite reaching "good points" in talks—highlights persistent security tensions driving trader caution on diplomatic breakthrough by June 30, 2026. Israel maintains troops in southern Syria, citing threats post-Bashar al-Assad's ouster and the HTS-led transition, while demanding Golan Heights sovereignty recognition and de-escalation guarantees. US-brokered Paris talks in January established an intelligence-sharing mechanism, signaling potential progress amid Syria's push for legitimacy, but domestic instability, including recent sectarian clashes, and unresolved territorial disputes sustain uncertainty. No major scheduled summits loom before resolution, leaving odds reflecting these formidable barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,720,844结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 11, 2025, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa's April 1 statement claiming Israel refused normalization at the last minute—despite reaching "good points" in talks—highlights persistent security tensions driving trader caution on diplomatic breakthrough by June 30, 2026. Israel maintains troops in southern Syria, citing threats post-Bashar al-Assad's ouster and the HTS-led transition, while demanding Golan Heights sovereignty recognition and de-escalation guarantees. US-brokered Paris talks in January established an intelligence-sharing mechanism, signaling potential progress amid Syria's push for legitimacy, but domestic instability, including recent sectarian clashes, and unresolved territorial disputes sustain uncertainty. No major scheduled summits loom before resolution, leaving odds reflecting these formidable barriers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题