Incumbent Rep. André Carson commands 91.5% trader consensus to win Indiana's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his 18-year tenure, overwhelming 85% victory over multiple challengers in the 2024 primary, and strong name recognition in the D+21 district. Recent challenger filings in February—Democratic operative George Hornedo, former statewide candidate Destiny Wells, and ex-constable Denise Paul Hatch—sparked immigration debates and IndyStar interviews in March, yet no polls show erosion of Carson's edge, with early voting starting April 7. Upsets remain possible via a late scandal, key endorsement defection, or surged turnout among dissatisfied voters, though incumbency base rates suggest stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于André Carson 92%
George Hornedo 4.0%
Destiny Scott Wells 3.1%
Denise Paul Hatch 1.4%
NEW
NEW
May 5, 2026
André Carson
92%
George Hornedo
4%
Destiny Scott Wells
3%
Denise Paul Hatch
1%
André Carson 92%
George Hornedo 4.0%
Destiny Scott Wells 3.1%
Denise Paul Hatch 1.4%
NEW
NEW
May 5, 2026
André Carson
$761 交易量
92%
George Hornedo
$0 交易量
4%
Destiny Scott Wells
$0 交易量
3%
Denise Paul Hatch
$858 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. André Carson commands 91.5% trader consensus to win Indiana's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his 18-year tenure, overwhelming 85% victory over multiple challengers in the 2024 primary, and strong name recognition in the D+21 district. Recent challenger filings in February—Democratic operative George Hornedo, former statewide candidate Destiny Wells, and ex-constable Denise Paul Hatch—sparked immigration debates and IndyStar interviews in March, yet no polls show erosion of Carson's edge, with early voting starting April 7. Upsets remain possible via a late scandal, key endorsement defection, or surged turnout among dissatisfied voters, though incumbency base rates suggest stability.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
市场开放时间： Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ET
交易量
$1,619结束日期
May 5, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. André Carson commands 91.5% trader consensus to win Indiana's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his 18-year tenure, overwhelming 85% victory over multiple challengers in the 2024 primary, and strong name recognition in the D+21 district. Recent challenger filings in February—Democratic operative George Hornedo, former statewide candidate Destiny Wells, and ex-constable Denise Paul Hatch—sparked immigration debates and IndyStar interviews in March, yet no polls show erosion of Carson's edge, with early voting starting April 7. Upsets remain possible via a late scandal, key endorsement defection, or surged turnout among dissatisfied voters, though incumbency base rates suggest stability.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the IN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$1,619结束日期
May 5, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 20, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Rep. André Carson commands 91.5% trader consensus to win Indiana's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary on May 5, driven by his 18-year tenure, overwhelming 85% victory over multiple challengers in the 2024 primary, and strong name recognition in the D+21 district. Recent challenger filings in February—Democratic operative George Hornedo, former statewide candidate Destiny Wells, and ex-constable Denise Paul Hatch—sparked immigration debates and IndyStar interviews in March, yet no polls show erosion of Carson's edge, with early voting starting April 7. Upsets remain possible via a late scandal, key endorsement defection, or surged turnout among dissatisfied voters, though incumbency base rates suggest stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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