With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show Péter Magyar's Tisza party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz, gaining ground even in Fidesz strongholds amid high undecided voter turnout, though some surveys post-Peace March indicated a temporary Fidesz rebound. The 199-seat unicameral parliament uses a mixed system—106 single-member districts favoring incumbents via gerrymandering and 93 proportional list seats—potentially enabling Fidesz to clinch a majority despite trailing in vote share, as trader consensus reflects in seat projections. Key catalysts include Magyar's accusations of Russian interference and Orbán's rallies emphasizing utility price protections; final undecided shifts and turnout could tip district races and coalition prospects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$69,316 交易量
2026-04-12
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57%
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45%
130+
27%
$69,316 交易量
90+
$11,795 交易量
83%
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$14,557 交易量
65%
110+
$17,758 交易量
57%
120+
$3,562 交易量
45%
130+
$21,643 交易量
27%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show Péter Magyar's Tisza party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz, gaining ground even in Fidesz strongholds amid high undecided voter turnout, though some surveys post-Peace March indicated a temporary Fidesz rebound. The 199-seat unicameral parliament uses a mixed system—106 single-member districts favoring incumbents via gerrymandering and 93 proportional list seats—potentially enabling Fidesz to clinch a majority despite trailing in vote share, as trader consensus reflects in seat projections. Key catalysts include Magyar's accusations of Russian interference and Orbán's rallies emphasizing utility price protections; final undecided shifts and turnout could tip district races and coalition prospects.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
交易量
$69,316结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show Péter Magyar's Tisza party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz, gaining ground even in Fidesz strongholds amid high undecided voter turnout, though some surveys post-Peace March indicated a temporary Fidesz rebound. The 199-seat unicameral parliament uses a mixed system—106 single-member districts favoring incumbents via gerrymandering and 93 proportional list seats—potentially enabling Fidesz to clinch a majority despite trailing in vote share, as trader consensus reflects in seat projections. Key catalysts include Magyar's accusations of Russian interference and Orbán's rallies emphasizing utility price protections; final undecided shifts and turnout could tip district races and coalition prospects.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$69,316结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls show Péter Magyar's Tisza party widening its lead over Viktor Orbán's Fidesz, gaining ground even in Fidesz strongholds amid high undecided voter turnout, though some surveys post-Peace March indicated a temporary Fidesz rebound. The 199-seat unicameral parliament uses a mixed system—106 single-member districts favoring incumbents via gerrymandering and 93 proportional list seats—potentially enabling Fidesz to clinch a majority despite trailing in vote share, as trader consensus reflects in seat projections. Key catalysts include Magyar's accusations of Russian interference and Orbán's rallies emphasizing utility price protections; final undecided shifts and turnout could tip district races and coalition prospects.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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