With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls from Medián, 21 Kutatóközpont, and others show Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party extending its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to 49-53% versus 38-40% among decided voters, up from narrower gaps three weeks ago. Seat projections in the 199-seat National Assembly suggest TISZA could claim 97-132 seats, including flips of over 70 Fidesz-held single-member districts out of 106, bolstered by the mixed electoral system's bias toward frontrunners in individual races and proportional allocation for the remaining 93. Momentum stems from voter frustration with Fidesz's 16-year rule, economic pressures, and TISZA's pro-EU messaging, amid spying allegations against the opposition that officials deny. Final rallies and turnout in battlegrounds will decide if TISZA secures a majority government.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$107,625 交易量
2026-04-12
90+
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67%
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62%
120+
52%
130+
28%
$107,625 交易量
90+
$15,822 交易量
83%
100+
$20,539 交易量
67%
110+
$22,331 交易量
62%
120+
$10,707 交易量
52%
130+
$38,226 交易量
28%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls from Medián, 21 Kutatóközpont, and others show Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party extending its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to 49-53% versus 38-40% among decided voters, up from narrower gaps three weeks ago. Seat projections in the 199-seat National Assembly suggest TISZA could claim 97-132 seats, including flips of over 70 Fidesz-held single-member districts out of 106, bolstered by the mixed electoral system's bias toward frontrunners in individual races and proportional allocation for the remaining 93. Momentum stems from voter frustration with Fidesz's 16-year rule, economic pressures, and TISZA's pro-EU messaging, amid spying allegations against the opposition that officials deny. Final rallies and turnout in battlegrounds will decide if TISZA secures a majority government.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
市场开放时间： Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
交易量
$107,625结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls from Medián, 21 Kutatóközpont, and others show Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party extending its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to 49-53% versus 38-40% among decided voters, up from narrower gaps three weeks ago. Seat projections in the 199-seat National Assembly suggest TISZA could claim 97-132 seats, including flips of over 70 Fidesz-held single-member districts out of 106, bolstered by the mixed electoral system's bias toward frontrunners in individual races and proportional allocation for the remaining 93. Momentum stems from voter frustration with Fidesz's 16-year rule, economic pressures, and TISZA's pro-EU messaging, amid spying allegations against the opposition that officials deny. Final rallies and turnout in battlegrounds will decide if TISZA secures a majority government.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if TISZA wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$107,625结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Mar 16, 2026, 2:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With Hungary's parliamentary election set for April 12, recent polls from Medián, 21 Kutatóközpont, and others show Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party extending its lead over incumbent Prime Minister Viktor Orbán's Fidesz to 49-53% versus 38-40% among decided voters, up from narrower gaps three weeks ago. Seat projections in the 199-seat National Assembly suggest TISZA could claim 97-132 seats, including flips of over 70 Fidesz-held single-member districts out of 106, bolstered by the mixed electoral system's bias toward frontrunners in individual races and proportional allocation for the remaining 93. Momentum stems from voter frustration with Fidesz's 16-year rule, economic pressures, and TISZA's pro-EU messaging, amid spying allegations against the opposition that officials deny. Final rallies and turnout in battlegrounds will decide if TISZA secures a majority government.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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