Trader consensus implies 24–25 Republican governors after the November 2026 midterms—a modest net loss from the current 26—driven by historical midterm headwinds for the president's party amid Donald Trump's second term, with battleground states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin hosting pivotal races. Cook Political Report rates Arizona and Michigan as toss-ups, while Republicans defend 18 incumbents against Democrats' 18, favoring retention in safe seats but vulnerability in opens and swings. Sparse early polling, including California's fragmented Democratic primary per March Emerson data, and recent Wisconsin Senate leader retirement maintain uncertainty; upcoming primaries could solidify nominees and tip balances in closely contested paths to victory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于24–25 36%
22–23 31%
少于22 13%
26–27 9%
$38,745 交易量
$38,745 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
少于22
13%
22–23
31%
24–25
36%
26–27
9%
28–29
5%
30–31
2%
32+
7%
24–25 36%
22–23 31%
少于22 13%
26–27 9%
$38,745 交易量
$38,745 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
少于22
$0 交易量
13%
22–23
$0 交易量
31%
24–25
$27,726 交易量
36%
26–27
$0 交易量
9%
28–29
$0 交易量
5%
30–31
$0 交易量
2%
32+
$11,019 交易量
7%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus implies 24–25 Republican governors after the November 2026 midterms—a modest net loss from the current 26—driven by historical midterm headwinds for the president's party amid Donald Trump's second term, with battleground states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin hosting pivotal races. Cook Political Report rates Arizona and Michigan as toss-ups, while Republicans defend 18 incumbents against Democrats' 18, favoring retention in safe seats but vulnerability in opens and swings. Sparse early polling, including California's fragmented Democratic primary per March Emerson data, and recent Wisconsin Senate leader retirement maintain uncertainty; upcoming primaries could solidify nominees and tip balances in closely contested paths to victory.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
交易量
$38,745结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus implies 24–25 Republican governors after the November 2026 midterms—a modest net loss from the current 26—driven by historical midterm headwinds for the president's party amid Donald Trump's second term, with battleground states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin hosting pivotal races. Cook Political Report rates Arizona and Michigan as toss-ups, while Republicans defend 18 incumbents against Democrats' 18, favoring retention in safe seats but vulnerability in opens and swings. Sparse early polling, including California's fragmented Democratic primary per March Emerson data, and recent Wisconsin Senate leader retirement maintain uncertainty; upcoming primaries could solidify nominees and tip balances in closely contested paths to victory.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$38,745结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus implies 24–25 Republican governors after the November 2026 midterms—a modest net loss from the current 26—driven by historical midterm headwinds for the president's party amid Donald Trump's second term, with battleground states like Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin hosting pivotal races. Cook Political Report rates Arizona and Michigan as toss-ups, while Republicans defend 18 incumbents against Democrats' 18, favoring retention in safe seats but vulnerability in opens and swings. Sparse early polling, including California's fragmented Democratic primary per March Emerson data, and recent Wisconsin Senate leader retirement maintain uncertainty; upcoming primaries could solidify nominees and tip balances in closely contested paths to victory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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