Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects a 26°C daytime high for Taipei on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers, driving trader consensus toward 26–28°C outcomes with implied probabilities of 25.5%, 23.5%, and 20.0% respectively. This reflects rebounding temperatures from weakening northeasterly seasonal winds, which have eased since April 2, allowing highs above the early April climatological average of 24–25°C at Songshan station. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence and shower timing—less afternoon precipitation could enable 27–28°C via increased insolation, while heavier moisture might cap at 25°C. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a 26–27°C spread; monitor daily CWA updates and new model runs through April 4 for shifts amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 5?
26°C 26%
27°C 24%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
14%
26°C
26%
27°C
24%
28°C
17%
29°C
13%
30°C
7%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
26°C 26%
27°C 24%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
22°C or below
3%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
14%
26°C
26%
27°C
24%
28°C
17%
29°C
13%
30°C
7%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecast projects a 26°C daytime high for Taipei on April 5 under mostly cloudy skies with occasional showers, driving trader consensus toward 26–28°C outcomes with implied probabilities of 25.5%, 23.5%, and 20.0% respectively. This reflects rebounding temperatures from weakening northeasterly seasonal winds, which have eased since April 2, allowing highs above the early April climatological average of 24–25°C at Songshan station. Differentiating factors include cloud cover persistence and shower timing—less afternoon precipitation could enable 27–28°C via increased insolation, while heavier moisture might cap at 25°C. GFS and ECMWF ensembles show a 26–27°C spread; monitor daily CWA updates and new model runs through April 4 for shifts amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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