Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Beijing's highest temperature on April 2, with China Meteorological Administration (CMA) projections and global ensembles like ECMWF centering around 20-21°C under anticipated sunny skies and light southwest breezes. Recent March observations, including highs near 23°C on March 29, signal a spring warming trend driven by retreating Siberian highs and increasing southerly moisture advection, yet daily variability from frontal passages or urban heat island effects differentiates the 19-22°C cluster. Historical early-April averages hover at 19°C, underscoring model spread; CMA daily updates through April 1 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 2?
20°C 35%
21°C 23%
22°C 23%
19°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
16°C or below
3%
17°C
11%
18°C
18%
19°C
19%
20°C
34%
21°C
23%
22°C
23%
23°C
13%
24°C
12%
25°C
12%
26°C or higher
4%
20°C 35%
21°C 23%
22°C 23%
19°C 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
16°C or below
$34 交易量
3%
17°C
$29 交易量
11%
18°C
$19 交易量
18%
19°C
$20 交易量
19%
20°C
$68 交易量
34%
21°C
$26 交易量
23%
22°C
$20 交易量
23%
23°C
$19 交易量
13%
24°C
$19 交易量
12%
25°C
$23 交易量
12%
26°C or higher
$242 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Beijing's highest temperature on April 2, with China Meteorological Administration (CMA) projections and global ensembles like ECMWF centering around 20-21°C under anticipated sunny skies and light southwest breezes. Recent March observations, including highs near 23°C on March 29, signal a spring warming trend driven by retreating Siberian highs and increasing southerly moisture advection, yet daily variability from frontal passages or urban heat island effects differentiates the 19-22°C cluster. Historical early-April averages hover at 19°C, underscoring model spread; CMA daily updates through April 1 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ET
交易量
$519结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Beijing's highest temperature on April 2, with China Meteorological Administration (CMA) projections and global ensembles like ECMWF centering around 20-21°C under anticipated sunny skies and light southwest breezes. Recent March observations, including highs near 23°C on March 29, signal a spring warming trend driven by retreating Siberian highs and increasing southerly moisture advection, yet daily variability from frontal passages or urban heat island effects differentiates the 19-22°C cluster. Historical early-April averages hover at 19°C, underscoring model spread; CMA daily updates through April 1 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$519结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Beijing's highest temperature on April 2, with China Meteorological Administration (CMA) projections and global ensembles like ECMWF centering around 20-21°C under anticipated sunny skies and light southwest breezes. Recent March observations, including highs near 23°C on March 29, signal a spring warming trend driven by retreating Siberian highs and increasing southerly moisture advection, yet daily variability from frontal passages or urban heat island effects differentiates the 19-22°C cluster. Historical early-April averages hover at 19°C, underscoring model spread; CMA daily updates through April 1 will refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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