Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts place Moscow's highest temperature on April 2 near 10°C, fueling the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 40-43% for outcomes from 4°C to 12°C or higher, as traders weigh persistent southerly airflow under a high-pressure ridge against climatological early April averages of 7-10°C. Warmer scenarios (10-12°C+) gain a slight edge from ongoing above-normal anomalies and advection of mild air from the south, evident in recent Roshydromet updates, while cooler results (4-7°C) reflect ensemble members projecting increased cloudiness or an early frontal passage limiting insolation. Key differentiators include exact ridge strength and solar exposure; new model runs daily through April 1 will refine uncertainty before resolution at the official Vnukovo or Balchug station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 2?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 2?
10°C 42%
9°C 42%
6°C 41%
8°C 41%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
2°C or below
40%
3°C
2%
4°C
41%
5°C
2%
6°C
41%
7°C
41%
8°C
41%
9°C
42%
10°C
42%
11°C
23%
12°C or higher
43%
10°C 42%
9°C 42%
6°C 41%
8°C 41%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
2°C or below
$55 交易量
40%
3°C
$165 交易量
2%
4°C
$179 交易量
41%
5°C
$120 交易量
2%
6°C
$50 交易量
41%
7°C
$50 交易量
41%
8°C
$50 交易量
41%
9°C
$0 交易量
42%
10°C
$0 交易量
42%
11°C
$0 交易量
23%
12°C or higher
$6 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts place Moscow's highest temperature on April 2 near 10°C, fueling the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 40-43% for outcomes from 4°C to 12°C or higher, as traders weigh persistent southerly airflow under a high-pressure ridge against climatological early April averages of 7-10°C. Warmer scenarios (10-12°C+) gain a slight edge from ongoing above-normal anomalies and advection of mild air from the south, evident in recent Roshydromet updates, while cooler results (4-7°C) reflect ensemble members projecting increased cloudiness or an early frontal passage limiting insolation. Key differentiators include exact ridge strength and solar exposure; new model runs daily through April 1 will refine uncertainty before resolution at the official Vnukovo or Balchug station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
交易量
$675结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts place Moscow's highest temperature on April 2 near 10°C, fueling the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 40-43% for outcomes from 4°C to 12°C or higher, as traders weigh persistent southerly airflow under a high-pressure ridge against climatological early April averages of 7-10°C. Warmer scenarios (10-12°C+) gain a slight edge from ongoing above-normal anomalies and advection of mild air from the south, evident in recent Roshydromet updates, while cooler results (4-7°C) reflect ensemble members projecting increased cloudiness or an early frontal passage limiting insolation. Key differentiators include exact ridge strength and solar exposure; new model runs daily through April 1 will refine uncertainty before resolution at the official Vnukovo or Balchug station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$675结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts place Moscow's highest temperature on April 2 near 10°C, fueling the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 40-43% for outcomes from 4°C to 12°C or higher, as traders weigh persistent southerly airflow under a high-pressure ridge against climatological early April averages of 7-10°C. Warmer scenarios (10-12°C+) gain a slight edge from ongoing above-normal anomalies and advection of mild air from the south, evident in recent Roshydromet updates, while cooler results (4-7°C) reflect ensemble members projecting increased cloudiness or an early frontal passage limiting insolation. Key differentiators include exact ridge strength and solar exposure; new model runs daily through April 1 will refine uncertainty before resolution at the official Vnukovo or Balchug station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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