Latest forecast models from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 27–30°C for Buenos Aires on March 29, driving the closely matched trader sentiment with implied probabilities evenly split across these outcomes. A persistent high-pressure ridge over southern South America has promoted clear skies and enhanced solar heating amid autumn warmth, with current anomalies 3–5°C above the March average of 24°C; however, minor differences in boundary layer mixing and sea breeze timing create uncertainty differentiating 27°C from 30°C. Model spread remains narrow at ±2°C, but new 12Z runs expected soon could refine this consensus as the date nears resolution based on official Ezeiza Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on March 29?
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
29°C 21%
27°C 16%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
8%
27°C
16%
28°C
22%
29°C
21%
30°C
21%
31°C
16%
32°C
16%
33°C or higher
2%
28°C 22%
30°C 21%
29°C 21%
27°C 16%
23°C or below
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
7%
26°C
8%
27°C
16%
28°C
22%
29°C
21%
30°C
21%
31°C
16%
32°C
16%
33°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast models from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a tight cluster of maximum temperatures around 27–30°C for Buenos Aires on March 29, driving the closely matched trader sentiment with implied probabilities evenly split across these outcomes. A persistent high-pressure ridge over southern South America has promoted clear skies and enhanced solar heating amid autumn warmth, with current anomalies 3–5°C above the March average of 24°C; however, minor differences in boundary layer mixing and sea breeze timing create uncertainty differentiating 27°C from 30°C. Model spread remains narrow at ±2°C, but new 12Z runs expected soon could refine this consensus as the date nears resolution based on official Ezeiza Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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