Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward record-challenging heat in Dallas on March 25, with 90-91°F (22.5%) edging 94-95°F (21.0%) amid tight clustering in the upper 80s to mid-90s, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts peaking near 92°F under a robust upper-level ridge. This high-pressure system fosters subsidence—downward air motion that suppresses clouds—while southwesterly winds advect warm, dry air from northern Mexico, pushing temps 20°F above the March 25 climatological average of 72°F. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models: cooler 86-87°F odds hinge on earlier ridge erosion or afternoon cumulus development, versus hotter 94-95°F if peak solar heating aligns with maximum subsidence before evening. Historical precedents show March records near 97°F, but resolution turns on verified DFW Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 25?
90-91°F 23%
94-95°F 21%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 16%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 23%
94-95°F 21%
86-87°F 18%
92-93°F 16%
79°F or below
2%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
8%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
16%
90-91°F
23%
92-93°F
16%
94-95°F
21%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward record-challenging heat in Dallas on March 25, with 90-91°F (22.5%) edging 94-95°F (21.0%) amid tight clustering in the upper 80s to mid-90s, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts peaking near 92°F under a robust upper-level ridge. This high-pressure system fosters subsidence—downward air motion that suppresses clouds—while southwesterly winds advect warm, dry air from northern Mexico, pushing temps 20°F above the March 25 climatological average of 72°F. Differentiating factors include ensemble spreads in GFS and ECMWF models: cooler 86-87°F odds hinge on earlier ridge erosion or afternoon cumulus development, versus hotter 94-95°F if peak solar heating aligns with maximum subsidence before evening. Historical precedents show March records near 97°F, but resolution turns on verified DFW Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题