Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as London's highest temperature on March 21, driven by verified Met Office observations from key stations like Heathrow and St. James's Park, which recorded peaks at or below this mark amid cloudy, cool conditions typical for late March. Historical data shows March highs averaging 11-12°C, with long-range forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO models predicting no exceptional warmth—cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with verified hourly readings. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from secondary stations or measurement disputes, though official preliminary reports make such shifts improbable, cementing market-implied certainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月21日伦敦气温最高?
3月21日伦敦气温最高?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$322,309 交易量
$322,309 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$322,309 交易量
$322,309 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 17, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 是
争议期
最终
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 13°C as London's highest temperature on March 21, driven by verified Met Office observations from key stations like Heathrow and St. James's Park, which recorded peaks at or below this mark amid cloudy, cool conditions typical for late March. Historical data shows March highs averaging 11-12°C, with long-range forecasts from ECMWF and UKMO models predicting no exceptional warmth—cloud cover suppressed daytime heating, aligning with verified hourly readings. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from secondary stations or measurement disputes, though official preliminary reports make such shifts improbable, cementing market-implied certainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题