Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 82-89°F for Denver's March 25 high, driven by NOAA's latest forecast of 82°F under sunny skies and strengthening westerly downslope winds from the Rockies, which promote adiabatic warming as air compresses descending slopes. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread peaking at 80-85°F, with 82-83°F edging out due to moderated wind gusts (10-15 mph) tempering extremes, while 84-87°F bins gain from potential ridge amplification aloft if clear skies persist. Historical March 25 record stands at 80°F (1989), underscoring low baseline risk below 82°F; final balloon observations today could sharpen resolution odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 25?
84-85°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 11%
88-89°F 11%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
7%
96°F or higher
8%
84-85°F 28%
82-83°F 19%
86-87°F 11%
88-89°F 11%
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
10%
92-93°F
10%
94-95°F
7%
96°F or higher
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:24 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 82-89°F for Denver's March 25 high, driven by NOAA's latest forecast of 82°F under sunny skies and strengthening westerly downslope winds from the Rockies, which promote adiabatic warming as air compresses descending slopes. Ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF show a tight spread peaking at 80-85°F, with 82-83°F edging out due to moderated wind gusts (10-15 mph) tempering extremes, while 84-87°F bins gain from potential ridge amplification aloft if clear skies persist. Historical March 25 record stands at 80°F (1989), underscoring low baseline risk below 82°F; final balloon observations today could sharpen resolution odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题