Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Atlanta's highest temperature on March 25 reaching 58°F or higher (98.3% implied probability), propelled by National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF pinpointing afternoon peaks near 62-66°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southeast. This positioning aligns with recent soundings showing warm air advection and surface trends already in the 50s, against Atlanta's climatological March average high of 64°F. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated shortwave trough diving southeastward, potentially dropping highs by 5-10°F if phasing accelerates—though current ensemble spreads and 00Z model runs assign under 2% odds to sub-58°F outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 25?
58°F or higher 98.4%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$37,833 交易量
$37,833 交易量
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
98%
58°F or higher 98.4%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$37,833 交易量
$37,833 交易量
39°F or below
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58°F or higher
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors Atlanta's highest temperature on March 25 reaching 58°F or higher (98.3% implied probability), propelled by National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance from GFS and ECMWF pinpointing afternoon peaks near 62-66°F amid a persistent upper-level ridge over the Southeast. This positioning aligns with recent soundings showing warm air advection and surface trends already in the 50s, against Atlanta's climatological March average high of 64°F. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated shortwave trough diving southeastward, potentially dropping highs by 5-10°F if phasing accelerates—though current ensemble spreads and 00Z model runs assign under 2% odds to sub-58°F outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题